NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	110		Excitement	10.3 [86]		MVP	Mario Hezonja (NYK): +49.5%
New York Knicks	113		Comeback	8.9 [107]		LVP	Sam Dekker (WAS): -44.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Brown Jr.	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.38,0.23	0.04	0.20	0.01	12	54%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	0.00	10	73%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Thomas Bryant	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	11	68%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Bobby Portis	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.07	-0.02	14	38%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Chasson Randle	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	11	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Tomas Satoransky	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	41%	0.04	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	17	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22	-0.04	-0.18	0.00	5	20%	-0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Dekker	-0.45	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.45	-0.06	-0.39	0.00	9	39%	-0.18	2	-0.27	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.49	0.49	0.07	0.43	0.00	21	65%	0.61	5	-0.12	4	75%	0.01
Henry Ellenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	4	100%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	5	85%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.05
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.01	12	62%	0.23	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.05	-0.01	11	71%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
John Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Knox	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.11	0.01	14	44%	-0.12	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	24.4	14.5	25.2	1.8	33.2	124.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +81.1%

NYK +11.4%

WAS -46.2%

NYK +5.1%

WAS -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYK	NBA	WAS	NYK	NBA
this game	14.1	15.0	14.3	110.0	115.3	109.3
season	13.8	14.5		109.8	103.8
opponent	14.1	14.3		112.5	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.6	14.9	11.7	16.8	14.1
NYK	15.2	15.7	15.1	13.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tomas Satoransky	68	66	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.15	4	-7	11	13.3	15.9	-2.63	15.2	14.5	0.76
Thomas Bryant	50	48	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.10	5	-8	13	12.6	15.6	-3.00	15.4	14.6	0.77
Jeff Green	34	32	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.11	11	-14	25	14.5	13.9	0.62	15.1	14.9	0.17
Bobby Portis	53	51	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.15	0	-3	3	12.6	15.8	-3.23	15.1	14.8	0.33
Bradley Beal	52	50	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.00	3	-6	9	12.8	15.5	-2.69	14.9	15.0	-0.12
Troy Brown Jr.	76	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.43	-2	-1	-1	14.0	14.5	-0.50	15.2	14.3	0.91
Devin Robinson	35	36	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.41	-8	5	-13	15.2	13.5	1.66	14.9	15.0	-0.06
Ian Mahinmi	38	38	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.54	-7	4	-11	16.4	12.7	3.75	14.7	15.1	-0.44
Sam Dekker	48	49	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.47	-10	7	-17	15.5	12.8	2.73	14.5	15.4	-0.94
Chasson Randle	46	46	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.49	-11	8	-19	15.9	12.6	3.24	14.4	15.5	-1.07

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damyean Dotson	68	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.24	8	-5	13	14.9	15.2	-0.32	13.6	15.2	-1.56
Dennis Smith Jr.	53	53	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	3	-3	15.0	15.0	-0.04	14.6	13.6	0.95
John Jenkins	44	42	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.07	9	-6	15	15.7	14.4	1.36	15.8	12.9	2.91
Luke Kornet	73	75	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	-6	15	14.8	15.6	-0.89	14.2	13.9	0.27
Kevin Knox	67	70	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.39	-3	6	-9	14.6	15.9	-1.30	13.5	15.6	-2.07
Mario Hezonja	73	76	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.45	-7	10	-17	14.9	15.2	-0.30	13.5	16.0	-2.42
Mitchell Robinson	76	79	0.21	0.28	-0.07	0.36	-5	8	-13	15.0	14.9	0.09	13.9	14.9	-0.99
Henry Ellenson	36	36	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	-1	5	15.6	14.6	1.00	15.2	13.5	1.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.25,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.39,0.45,0.68,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 86, PHX 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.45,0.77,0.58,1	89.9%
DAL 98, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.46,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.17,0.22,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.24,0.42,1	89.4%
NYK 84, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.58,1	89.4%