NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	102		Excitement	8.0 [309]		MVP	Brook Lopez (MIL): +36.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	107		Comeback	1.5 [343]		LVP	D.J. Wilson (MIL): -12.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.16	0.21	0.00	11	79%	0.36	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Pat Connaughton	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	7	69%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Khris Middleton	0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	21	59%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tony Snell	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	11	36%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.07	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07	0.01	-0.08	0.00	19	51%	0.02	3	-0.09	9	89%	0.03
Tim Frazier	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	9	40%	-0.03	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.02
D.J. Wilson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	9	27%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.23,0.28	0.28	0.09	0.19	0.00	18	68%	0.41	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.16,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.12	-0.01	17	61%	0.24	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ante Zizic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	0.00	6	50%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	12	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	4	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	10	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marquese Chriss	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	10	26%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
David Nwaba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	7	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	26.3	14.6	25.2	2.5	35.6	132.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +38.1%

MIL -5.5%

CLE +18.6%

MIL -4.0%

CLE +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CLE	NBA	MIL	CLE	NBA
this game	13.3	15.3	14.3	102.0	105.9	109.3
season	13.5	15.5		112.4	106.3
opponent	13.9	14.3		116.5	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.6	13.9	14.0	12.9	13.3
CLE	14.5	14.3	15.4	17.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ersan Ilyasova	55	55	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.37	14	-19	33	11.8	15.2	-3.36	15.1	15.6	-0.49
Khris Middleton	79	81	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.28	7	-12	19	12.6	16.3	-3.78	15.7	13.7	1.93
Tim Frazier	29	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	2	-9	15.4	12.5	2.86	14.5	15.6	-1.05
Tony Snell	58	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-6	7	13.8	12.7	1.06	14.8	16.1	-1.31
Brook Lopez	77	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-6	7	13.2	13.8	-0.62	15.2	15.5	-0.23
Eric Bledsoe	76	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.47	4	-9	13	12.4	16.5	-4.14	15.6	14.4	1.21
Pat Connaughton	69	68	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.13	-20	15	-35	14.5	10.7	3.78	15.1	15.6	-0.50
D.J. Wilson	57	58	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.01	-25	20	-45	14.5	11.8	2.74	15.8	14.7	1.12

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Clarkson	66	65	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.34	9	-4	13	15.5	14.9	0.67	13.6	12.9	0.71
David Nwaba	34	34	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.14	11	-6	17	13.9	16.0	-2.09	16.1	11.9	4.19
Nik Stauskas	30	31	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	-7	19	15.4	15.3	0.15	14.2	13.0	1.18
Ante Zizic	54	52	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.34	-3	8	-11	16.1	14.3	1.79	12.2	14.6	-2.45
Brandon Knight	57	57	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	0	5	15.0	15.7	-0.68	13.3	13.4	-0.08
Larry Nance Jr.	45	45	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	3	-1	16.2	14.6	1.55	13.6	13.2	0.41
Cedi Osman	64	63	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.28	-4	9	-13	15.5	14.9	0.55	12.4	14.9	-2.49
Tristan Thompson	26	27	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.06	2	3	-1	14.3	15.6	-1.33	12.9	13.5	-0.58
Collin Sexton	74	73	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.31	-7	12	-19	15.4	15.1	0.25	12.9	14.5	-1.55
Kevin Love	43	42	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	5	-5	14.4	16.0	-1.61	12.7	13.8	-1.10
Marquese Chriss	12	11	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.02	-2	7	-9	16.1	15.2	0.89	17.4	12.9	4.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.61,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.84,0.98,1	92.6%
CHH 90, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.61,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.91,0.96,1	92.5%
SAS 92, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1	92.3%