NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	115		Excitement	8.2 [279]		MVP	Elfrid Payton (NOP): +28.9%
Utah Jazz	112		Comeback	33.6 [18]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): -45.5%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elfrid Payton	0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.29	0.02	0.26	-0.00	7	71%	0.34	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.00	6	58%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.00	0.10	-0.01	7	44%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	14	54%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.05	0.10	-0.01	0.03	23	52%	0.05	0	0.00	12	83%	0.02
Frank Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,-0.01	0.15	-0.12	0.04	23	62%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Cheick Diallo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
E'Twaun Moore	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	39%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.16	0.10	-0.00	13	77%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.15	0.12	0.02	11	73%	0.26	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.03	-0.02	14	69%	0.20	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.01	10	67%	0.13	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	8	18%	-0.10	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Joe Ingles	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	7	-0.23	2	100%	0.02
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.15,-0.28,-0.35,-0.38,-0.36,-0.45	-0.45	-0.16	-0.33	-0.03	24	38%	-0.21	6	-0.25	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	0.8	25.2	14.8	25.5	2.3	32.5	126.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +31.0%

UTA -13.5%

NOP +1.1%

NOP +32.9%

UTA -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	UTA	NBA	NOP	UTA	NBA
this game	14.3	14.9	14.3	116.2	114.3	109.3
season	13.4	14.3		110.2	109.3
opponent	14.3	14.2		105.2	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.4	17.8	14.2	13.6	14.3
UTA	13.3	16.5	16.5	14.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julius Randle	78	79	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.34	17	-14	31	14.2	14.5	-0.28	15.4	13.1	2.34
Kenrich Williams	72	71	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.51	7	-4	11	14.2	14.6	-0.35	14.5	16.0	-1.52
E'Twaun Moore	47	47	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.32	13	-10	23	13.7	14.9	-1.18	15.6	14.4	1.22
Elfrid Payton	65	66	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.40	9	-6	15	14.2	14.5	-0.26	15.2	14.5	0.70
Darius Miller	54	53	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.49	0	3	-3	13.5	15.2	-1.73	14.0	16.0	-2.00
Anthony Davis	47	46	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	4	-5	14.4	14.2	0.11	14.6	15.2	-0.58
Jrue Holiday	66	65	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	7	-11	14.8	13.4	1.41	14.9	15.1	-0.23
Frank Jackson	31	29	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	-0.01	-11	14	-25	15.9	13.6	2.38	15.1	14.9	0.18
Cheick Diallo	35	34	-0.48	0.98	-1.47	-0.04	-15	18	-33	14.4	14.2	0.19	15.3	14.7	0.59

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Favors	50	51	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.12	9	-12	21	14.4	15.5	-1.14	14.0	14.7	-0.71
Kyle Korver	61	62	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-3	3	14.8	15.2	-0.36	13.3	16.0	-2.67
Thabo Sefolosha	10	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-5	7	16.1	14.8	1.29	16.2	14.1	2.11
Royce O'Neale	42	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.23	6	-9	15	14.3	15.4	-1.14	14.2	14.4	-0.17
Ricky Rubio	52	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	2	-7	15.5	14.3	1.11	14.5	14.1	0.47
Joe Ingles	69	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	0	-3	14.8	15.4	-0.63	14.4	14.0	0.43
Jae Crowder	68	67	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.27	-9	6	-15	14.9	15.1	-0.23	14.0	15.0	-1.08
Donovan Mitchell	70	72	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.58	-7	4	-11	15.2	14.2	1.06	14.7	13.1	1.59
Rudy Gobert	68	69	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.59	-8	5	-13	15.2	14.2	1.02	14.8	13.1	1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.84,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.86,0.82,0.62,0.47,0.11,0.03,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 91, SEA 88	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.67,0.38,0.15,0.14,0.09,0	92.1%
SAS 102, NOP 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.85,0.7,0.59,0.47,0.55,0.22,0.11,0.01,0	89.9%
NOH 94, PHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.83,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.37,0.24,0.16,0	89.7%