NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	119		Excitement	5.3 [799]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +15.1%
Houston Rockets	121		Comeback	1.0 [612]		LVP	Kawhi Leonard (TOR): -12.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.19	0.00	0.09	14	79%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08	0.10	0.02	0.04	15	69%	0.10	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Norman Powell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	8	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	10	55%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	9	41%	-0.00	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Fred VanVleet	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	9	40%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.12	0.11	-0.18	0.05	19	71%	-0.03	6	-0.10	7	100%	0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.06	-0.04	25	54%	0.21	4	-0.06	15	100%	0.07
PJ Tucker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.02	11	82%	0.16	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.02	0.04	11	68%	0.12	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.01
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	14	46%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	-0.01	22	48%	-0.01	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.3	31.5	15.4	26.8	2.8	35.9	140.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +23.4%

HOU +10.1%

TOR -5.9%

HOU +17.6%

HOU +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	HOU	NBA	TOR	HOU	NBA
this game	14.7	13.5	14.3	116.7	118.6	109.3
season	14.3	14.8		111.5	114.0
opponent	14.4	14.5		109.3	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.8	13.3	15.7	14.9	14.7
HOU	14.5	16.0	12.6	11.3	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick McCaw	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-2	2	23.0	14.6	8.39	8.0	13.6	-5.65
OG Anunoby	22	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.05	-6	4	-10	15.2	14.6	0.62	13.4	13.6	-0.17
Danny Green	66	66	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.49	12	-14	26	14.5	15.1	-0.56	13.7	13.2	0.58
Fred VanVleet	44	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.09	-2	0	-2	14.2	15.1	-0.86	13.8	13.3	0.45
CJ Miles	18	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	3	-8	14.3	14.8	-0.44	14.0	13.4	0.56
Greg Monroe	15	14	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.13	-11	9	-20	13.5	14.9	-1.44	14.9	13.3	1.53
Norman Powell	42	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.31	4	-6	10	15.2	14.3	0.88	13.2	13.8	-0.62
Pascal Siakam	71	70	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.43	6	-8	14	14.7	14.6	0.07	13.5	13.6	-0.08
Kawhi Leonard	83	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.49	5	-7	12	14.6	15.3	-0.76	13.4	14.3	-0.96
Serge Ibaka	66	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.17	-9	7	-16	15.1	14.0	1.03	13.8	13.1	0.69
Kyle Lowry	82	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.41	-4	2	-6	14.8	14.4	0.31	13.3	14.6	-1.38

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Rivers	79	79	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	-1	4	13.2	14.9	-1.72	14.6	14.9	-0.28
Kenneth Faried	80	81	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.47	-3	5	-8	13.3	14.5	-1.22	15.0	13.6	1.42
PJ Tucker	77	76	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.47	-3	5	-8	13.5	13.8	-0.29	14.9	14.0	0.99
Eric Gordon	79	80	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.28	2	0	2	13.2	14.7	-1.44	14.6	15.1	-0.56
James Harden	84	85	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.56	-8	10	-18	13.5	13.6	-0.09	14.9	13.5	1.40
Gerald Green	39	37	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	-5	12	14.6	12.9	1.74	14.9	14.6	0.35
James Ennis III	58	57	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	1	0	13.9	13.0	0.95	14.0	15.5	-1.50
Nene	14	15	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.13	11	-9	20	14.9	13.3	1.53	13.5	14.9	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.81,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 110, PHI 123	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.9%
CLE 75, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.6%
LAC 84, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%