NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	98		Excitement	6.6 [541]		MVP	Reggie Jackson (DET): +26.2%
New Orleans Pelicans	94		Comeback	1.5 [434]		LVP	Reggie Bullock (DET): -14.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Jackson	0.26	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.10	0.16	-0.00	11	71%	0.29	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Blake Griffin	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.25	0.16	0.07	-0.02	28	60%	0.28	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Jon Leuer	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	6	79%	0.12	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Langston Galloway	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	11	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Jose Calderon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	12	21%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.00	0.02	24	58%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	12	46%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Frank Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	45%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	13	55%	0.13	5	-0.18	5	20%	-0.08
Julius Randle	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	14	45%	0.02	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	7	14%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.3	24.4	15.4	25.4	1.8	33.3	129.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +21.1%

DET +2.8%

DET +10.7%

DET +15.1%

DET +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NOP	NBA	DET	NOP	NBA
this game	15.8	14.1	14.3	101.0	97.9	109.3
season	15.3	13.4		107.5	110.2
opponent	14.2	14.0		111.5	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.8	12.7	18.7	18.6	15.8
NOP	13.8	15.6	14.0	12.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	75	75	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.40	7	-3	10	16.1	14.6	1.48	13.8	15.0	-1.15
Reggie Jackson	58	58	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.34	7	-3	10	16.6	14.5	2.13	14.0	14.1	-0.04
Zaza Pachulia	59	58	0.52	-0.01	0.53	0.28	8	-4	12	17.1	13.7	3.41	14.8	13.0	1.78
Reggie Bullock	52	52	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	-2	8	16.7	14.7	2.00	14.0	14.2	-0.20
Langston Galloway	55	56	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.29	1	3	-2	15.3	16.4	-1.10	13.9	14.3	-0.38
Bruce Brown	47	44	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.21	-1	5	-6	15.7	15.8	-0.08	13.8	14.3	-0.52
Luke Kennard	45	44	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	6	-8	14.7	16.7	-2.00	14.2	14.0	0.20
Jon Leuer	33	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	4	-4	14.2	16.6	-2.34	13.5	14.4	-0.90
Jose Calderon	39	38	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	7	-10	14.5	16.6	-2.13	14.1	14.0	0.04
Stanley Johnson	22	21	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	7	-10	14.6	16.1	-1.48	15.0	13.8	1.15

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Hill	10	9	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.02	7	-11	18	13.0	14.2	-1.17	18.2	15.5	2.69
Frank Jackson	34	34	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.18	9	-13	22	12.8	14.7	-1.90	15.6	15.9	-0.30
Tim Frazier	15	15	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	3	-10	14.5	14.0	0.57	10.1	16.8	-6.68
E'Twaun Moore	46	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-3	2	13.5	14.6	-1.14	16.8	14.9	1.94
Nikola Mirotic	51	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	5	-14	14.1	14.0	0.06	15.0	16.6	-1.62
Elfrid Payton	62	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-3	2	14.5	13.3	1.17	16.8	13.9	2.97
Darius Miller	60	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.37	0	-4	4	13.9	14.2	-0.32	15.1	16.9	-1.71
Julius Randle	69	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.40	-1	-3	2	13.9	14.4	-0.55	15.3	17.1	-1.77
Jahlil Okafor	58	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	5	-14	14.8	13.0	1.78	17.1	13.7	3.41
Jrue Holiday	75	77	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.37	-8	4	-12	14.3	13.0	1.35	15.6	16.3	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.18,0.27,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.14,0.24,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.17,0.37,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 95, NOH 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.01,0	93.8%
MIL 81, HOU 76	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.24,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.05,0	93.6%
PHX 117, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.1,0.07,0,0,0,0	93.1%