inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 87 Excitement3.2 [1162] MVPTrevor Ariza (WAS): +10.5%
Washington Wizards 101 Comeback1.1 [1082] LVPBruce Brown (DET): -11.6%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jose Calderon0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002117%0.042-0.002100%0.00
Reggie Bullock0.030,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.070.031150%0.072-0.032100%0.03
Langston Galloway0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.050.000.04580%0.0110.0000%0.00
Khyri Thomas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.02462%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kalin Lucas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.01
Blake Griffin0.000,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.13-0.010.121667%0.063-0.051164%-0.01
Glenn Robinson III0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01367%0.002-0.0100%0.00
Jon Leuer-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Stanley Johnson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00540%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Reggie Jackson-0.080,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.000.011132%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Luke Kennard-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.110.00-0.03829%-0.053-0.031100%0.00
Bruce Brown-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.13-0.01-0.021020%-0.072-0.0500%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.120.000.021367%0.1100.004100%0.02
Thomas Bryant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.000.00-0.06955%0.0520.01250%-0.01
Otto Porter Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.100.000.051561%0.0500.001100%-0.00
Sam Dekker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.090.000.06679%0.0300.002100%0.00
Ian Mahinmi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.02-0.02325%0.0100.002100%0.01
Troy Brown Jr.00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gary Payton II00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan McRae0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tomas Satoransky0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.05-0.00-0.03853%0.044-0.05367%0.00
Chasson Randle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.00-0.03117%-0.001-0.02425%-0.01
Jeff Green0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.021148%0.013-0.041100%-0.00
Bradley Beal0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.020.000.031250%0.013-0.06887%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.11.830.414.627.01.527.8129.2
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +28.5%
WAS +3.2%
WAS +5.1%
WAS +6.0%
WAS +7.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETWASNBADETWASNBA
this game14.713.814.385.3101.0109.3
season15.313.8107.5109.8
opponent14.314.0112.4109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET14.415.214.015.314.7
WAS12.813.612.117.513.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Glenn Robinson III220.00-0.500.500.000-14149.514.8-5.2721.513.77.82
Khyri Thomas2526-0.09-0.410.33-0.090-141414.814.60.2313.214.1-0.82
Kalin Lucas1212-0.09-0.410.31-0.01-3-11815.114.60.4713.713.9-0.10
Jon Leuer1211-0.11-0.390.270.06-6-8212.714.9-2.2714.413.80.59
Jose Calderon2929-0.13-0.370.250.08-7-7014.214.8-0.6413.414.0-0.55
Stanley Johnson4544-0.14-0.360.22-0.171-151615.214.21.0315.312.72.68
Langston Galloway3736-0.14-0.360.21-0.09-2-121015.514.21.2415.712.82.85
Reggie Jackson5148-0.24-0.260.02-0.09-5-9414.914.50.4313.913.70.19
Bruce Brown4746-0.26-0.24-0.010.01-9-5-414.814.60.1813.014.6-1.60
Luke Kennard4445-0.29-0.21-0.070.13-140-1414.614.7-0.0913.514.1-0.64
Zaza Pachulia5352-0.30-0.20-0.100.14-151-1614.814.50.2613.014.7-1.75
Reggie Bullock7674-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.21-5-9414.415.5-1.0713.614.5-0.94
Blake Griffin7775-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.21-5-9414.515.3-0.8713.714.3-0.64

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bradley Beal72740.380.120.26-0.0615-11613.315.2-1.9114.315.7-1.39
Trevor Ariza71730.370.130.24-0.041401413.315.1-1.7814.415.2-0.80
Tomas Satoransky79800.360.140.220.1095413.913.60.3414.714.50.21
Jeff Green54540.290.210.08-0.00104612.915.0-2.1514.115.3-1.14
Otto Porter Jr.54540.290.210.070.0295414.213.40.8714.914.40.43
Ian Mahinmi40410.250.25-0.010.13410-614.213.60.6415.514.11.45
Thomas Bryant54560.240.26-0.02-0.05104613.913.80.1114.414.9-0.49
Sam Dekker39410.190.31-0.130.19014-1414.413.50.8915.614.01.54
Chasson Randle31300.130.37-0.230.13014-1414.413.60.7515.614.31.37
Troy Brown Jr.230.000.50-0.500.03-115-1621.513.77.8211.314.8-3.43
Gary Payton II220.000.50-0.500.00014-1421.513.77.829.514.8-5.27
Jordan McRae220.000.50-0.500.00014-1421.513.77.829.514.8-5.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.65,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 74, CHI 870.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
SAC 74, DET 910.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
GSW 87, CHI 1200.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%