NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	111		Excitement	7.4 [412]		MVP	Paul George (OKC): +18.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	109		Comeback	3.2 [427]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -20.3%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.19	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.07	0.02	23	62%	0.25	3	-0.07	14	86%	0.05
Nerlens Noel	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Steven Adams	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.08	0.08	-0.00	14	33%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jerami Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Hamidou Diallo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	28	50%	0.03	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.07	0.03	11	67%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jake Layman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	7	79%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.03	0.03	14	65%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	21%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Maurice Harkless	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	9	28%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	15	33%	-0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2	-0.20	-0.03	-0.15	0.02	19	49%	-0.06	4	-0.14	9	89%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.8	26.1	14.7	27.1	2.7	34.5	133.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +30.2%

OKC +8.6%

POR -0.2%

OKC +8.5%

OKC +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	POR	NBA	OKC	POR	NBA
this game	12.8	14.8	14.3	106.7	104.8	109.3
season	12.9	14.9		108.9	112.6
opponent	13.9	14.9		109.4	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	11.7	14.8	10.5	14.6	12.8
POR	14.0	12.9	17.2	15.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	61	59	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.36	9	-7	16	13.0	12.7	0.25	15.3	14.3	1.02
Russell Westbrook	82	80	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.38	7	-5	12	12.4	14.5	-2.16	15.2	13.7	1.43
Paul George	81	81	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.34	8	-6	14	12.1	15.3	-3.21	14.8	15.1	-0.37
Nerlens Noel	29	29	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.12	5	-3	8	14.4	12.2	2.17	14.7	14.9	-0.26
Steven Adams	75	75	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.33	-3	5	-8	12.2	14.4	-2.17	14.9	14.7	0.26
Patrick Patterson	28	28	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	2	-2	14.7	12.2	2.56	14.6	14.9	-0.38
Jerami Grant	62	62	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.28	-10	12	-22	12.7	13.1	-0.42	14.4	15.5	-1.10
Terrance Ferguson	32	35	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	8	-14	13.3	12.6	0.72	13.1	15.7	-2.57
Abdel Nader	28	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	5	-8	14.5	12.2	2.26	15.0	14.8	0.26
Hamidou Diallo	16	16	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	10	-18	15.6	12.3	3.28	13.8	15.0	-1.22

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Layman	25	24	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.09	5	-7	12	15.1	14.8	0.36	15.5	12.1	3.40
Jusuf Nurkic	68	66	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.19	6	-8	14	14.5	15.4	-0.87	12.5	13.4	-0.86
Maurice Harkless	54	54	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.21	4	-6	10	14.1	15.6	-1.45	12.8	12.9	-0.10
CJ McCollum	70	70	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.28	5	-7	12	14.6	15.3	-0.67	12.3	13.9	-1.54
Zach Collins	32	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	2	-6	14.4	15.0	-0.64	14.2	12.3	1.89
Al-Farouq Aminu	72	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-4	6	15.0	14.4	0.64	12.3	14.2	-1.89
Seth Curry	34	34	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	5	-12	15.3	14.6	0.67	13.9	12.3	1.54
Evan Turner	50	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.24	-6	4	-10	15.6	14.1	1.45	12.9	12.8	0.10
Meyers Leonard	36	38	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.25	-8	6	-14	15.4	14.5	0.87	13.4	12.5	0.86
Damian Lillard	79	80	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.35	-7	5	-12	14.8	15.1	-0.36	12.1	15.5	-3.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.44,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.12,0.18,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 106, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.59,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.05,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.15,0	93.5%
TOR 101, PHX 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.02,0	93.4%
MIN 105, SEA 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.4%