NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	97		Excitement	7.8 [343]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +57.1%
Houston Rockets	102		Comeback	1.2 [911]		LVP	Joe Ingles (UTA): -15.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.11	0.00	10	69%	0.23	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Kyle Korver	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	45%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Royce O'Neale	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	75%	0.09	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Jae Crowder	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.05,-0.06	0.03	-0.10	-0.01	10	56%	0.06	2	-0.12	5	100%	0.03
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.17,-0.1	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	22	45%	0.00	4	-0.10	7	71%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	10	60%	0.12	7	-0.25	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	6	36%	-0.06	4	-0.10	2	0%	-0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.42,0.57	0.57	0.17	0.34	-0.06	31	60%	0.68	5	-0.11	16	94%	0.07
PJ Tucker	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.02	0.02	9	89%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	10	46%	0.05	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	0.00	-0.01	8	24%	-0.06	2	-0.04	5	20%	-0.07
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	13	43%	-0.05	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	28.4	14.7	35.5	2.0	30.0	138.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +26.9%

HOU +11.0%

UTA -25.1%

HOU +34.0%

HOU +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	13.5	14.0	14.3	93.3	97.1	109.3
season	14.3	14.8		109.3	114.0
opponent	14.4	14.3		109.3	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.5	15.8	13.1	11.6	13.5
HOU	14.2	13.0	11.7	17.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	59	56	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-5	5	13.3	13.8	-0.57	13.5	14.7	-1.15
Royce O'Neale	37	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.33	6	-11	17	12.5	14.1	-1.52	16.7	12.5	4.19
Jae Crowder	74	73	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.32	4	-9	13	13.1	14.4	-1.28	13.8	14.6	-0.75
Rudy Gobert	71	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-8	11	13.5	13.6	-0.13	13.3	15.6	-2.34
Thabo Sefolosha	15	15	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	6	-17	16.1	13.1	3.05	16.0	13.7	2.29
Dante Exum	40	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	1	-7	14.2	13.1	1.19	15.3	13.2	2.02
Ricky Rubio	77	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-5	5	13.5	13.6	-0.10	13.7	15.1	-1.49
Derrick Favors	33	34	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	3	-11	13.6	13.5	0.13	15.6	13.3	2.34
Kyle Korver	30	33	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.10	-10	5	-15	13.6	13.5	0.16	11.2	15.3	-4.17
Donovan Mitchell	84	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-2	-1	13.6	13.1	0.52	13.9	14.6	-0.66

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danuel House Jr.	40	41	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-11	27	15.3	13.3	2.00	12.8	14.0	-1.26
PJ Tucker	77	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.27	5	0	5	13.2	16.4	-3.21	14.3	11.6	2.68
James Harden	90	90	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	6	-7	13.6	16.7	-3.07	13.4	14.6	-1.22
Gerald Green	36	35	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	-2	9	13.4	14.4	-0.99	13.0	13.8	-0.83
Clint Capela	76	75	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.40	-4	9	-13	13.6	15.2	-1.66	14.3	11.4	2.97
Nene	29	29	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	-4	13	15.2	13.6	1.66	11.4	14.3	-2.97
Chris Paul	80	80	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.24	-3	8	-11	14.0	14.3	-0.32	13.7	12.9	0.78
Eric Gordon	81	78	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.31	-6	11	-17	14.1	13.9	0.16	13.8	12.7	1.05
Brandon Knight	16	17	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	3	-1	19.2	13.1	6.08	12.0	13.8	-1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.7,0.61,0.7,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.73,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.81,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.67,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 90, WAS 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.78,0.68,0.95,1	91.2%
CHI 89, TOR 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1	91.1%
TOR 89, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.96,1	91.0%