NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	98		Excitement	5.2 [813]		MVP	Wesley Johnson (NOP): +12.5%
New Orleans Pelicans	107		Comeback	1.2 [1218]		LVP	Cameron Payne (CHI): -9.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	11	68%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	16	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.05	6	92%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	26	41%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chandler Hutchison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	10%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jabari Parker	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	0.05	-0.04	0.07	14	56%	-0.02	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.00
Antonio Blakeney	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	11	27%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.00	7	86%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.02	24	58%	0.22	4	-0.11	7	57%	-0.02
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	6	92%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Cheick Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	16	46%	0.06	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	6	17%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.01	-0.06	14	32%	-0.04	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.8	23.2	14.7	31.1	2.4	28.6	125.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +43.6%

NOP +0.9%

NOP +8.2%

CHI -3.6%

NOP +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NOP	NBA	CHI	NOP	NBA
this game	14.2	13.9	14.3	96.1	103.9	109.3
season	14.6	13.4		104.2	110.2
opponent	14.2	14.3		111.5	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.7	15.3	13.3	14.5	14.2
NOP	14.0	13.0	14.4	14.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	24	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-16	23	13.5	14.4	-0.93	14.3	13.8	0.48
Antonio Blakeney	36	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-10	11	13.9	14.3	-0.34	12.7	14.6	-1.96
Chandler Hutchison	34	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-13	17	13.9	14.3	-0.47	13.2	14.3	-1.08
Cameron Payne	33	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-2	-5	14.1	14.2	-0.16	13.7	14.1	-0.39
Cristiano Felicio	15	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	0	-9	15.9	13.9	1.99	11.0	14.6	-3.55
Wendell Carter Jr.	63	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-2	-5	14.0	14.4	-0.35	14.6	12.9	1.79
Ryan Arcidiacono	69	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-7	5	14.2	14.1	0.16	14.1	13.7	0.39
Justin Holiday	81	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-3	-3	14.2	13.9	0.39	14.0	13.7	0.26
Jabari Parker	76	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.09	-11	2	-13	14.1	14.3	-0.24	14.3	12.8	1.50
Zach LaVine	79	80	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.11	-15	6	-21	14.4	13.4	0.94	14.4	12.3	2.10

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	79	79	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	-8	25	14.2	13.1	1.11	14.1	14.5	-0.40
E'Twaun Moore	67	66	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	-2	13	13.7	14.4	-0.66	14.5	13.6	0.86
Anthony Davis	79	78	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.16	8	1	7	14.4	12.4	2.03	13.9	14.9	-0.93
Wesley Johnson	51	50	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	-1	11	14.6	13.3	1.26	13.9	14.4	-0.52
Nikola Mirotic	62	64	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	7	-5	14.3	13.3	1.02	14.2	14.0	0.22
Julius Randle	51	49	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	5	-1	13.4	14.5	-1.11	14.2	14.1	0.15
Cheick Diallo	14	13	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	5	-1	11.5	14.3	-2.81	14.8	14.1	0.69
Kenrich Williams	10	10	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	9	-9	11.4	14.2	-2.80	14.1	14.2	-0.07
Tim Frazier	19	18	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	12	-15	12.4	14.3	-1.85	14.8	14.0	0.81
Ian Clark	40	40	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	13	-17	14.6	13.5	1.17	13.8	14.4	-0.64
Darius Miller	43	43	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	13	-17	13.7	14.1	-0.48	14.3	14.1	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 77, VAN 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1	95.8%
ATL 84, SAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
NOP 79, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%