NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	110		Excitement	9.7 [116]		MVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): +46.5%
Chicago Bulls	112		Comeback	4.8 [182]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (CHA): -26.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.39,0.33,0.33	0.11	0.25	0.02	14	59%	0.37	1	-0.04	11	91%	0.12
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.11	-0.01	0.11	0.00	12	42%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.07
Cody Zeller	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	8	70%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Willy Hernangomez	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	2	70%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Jeremy Lamb	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	9	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	8	45%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Tony Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	10	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.02	0.03	-0.05	0.00	4	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	-0.27	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.27	-0.06	-0.21	-0.01	15	42%	-0.01	3	-0.26	1	0%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.47	0.47	0.06	0.41	-0.00	22	57%	0.53	3	-0.06	12	92%	0.08
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.39,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.12	0.12	-0.04	13	81%	0.42	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	91%	0.17	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Chandler Hutchison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Blakeney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	57%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	7	58%	0.09	3	-0.13	5	100%	0.04
Justin Holiday	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	9	39%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	7	30%	-0.14	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.22

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.7	29.2	15.4	32.5	2.5	36.7	141.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +41.0%

CHA -12.5%

CHI +22.2%

CHA -6.9%

CHI +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CHI	NBA	CHA	CHI	NBA
this game	16.3	13.9	14.3	114.6	117.9	109.3
season	14.6	14.6		110.4	104.2
opponent	14.3	14.3		112.4	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.8	15.0	15.7	16.6	16.3
CHI	12.8	15.0	12.6	15.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	33	33	0.21	-0.71	0.91	0.26	-2	0	-2	16.2	16.3	-0.03	12.6	14.6	-1.96
Cody Zeller	46	42	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.07	6	-8	14	15.5	17.0	-1.46	14.3	13.5	0.81
Tony Parker	35	35	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.15	-2	0	-2	15.7	16.6	-0.95	14.2	13.7	0.45
Nicolas Batum	73	73	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.48	14	-16	30	16.3	16.0	0.34	14.3	12.4	1.92
Miles Bridges	25	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.31	4	-6	10	16.2	16.3	-0.08	14.9	13.5	1.35
Jeremy Lamb	57	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	5	-12	16.3	16.2	0.09	14.0	13.8	0.20
Marvin Williams	64	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.49	3	-5	8	16.8	15.2	1.52	14.7	12.3	2.32
Willy Hernangomez	26	28	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.04	-14	12	-26	17.0	16.0	1.07	12.5	14.4	-1.91
Kemba Walker	69	69	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.61	0	-2	2	16.8	14.9	1.96	13.7	14.3	-0.58
Malik Monk	52	51	-0.91	0.41	-1.32	-0.56	-12	10	-22	15.5	17.2	-1.70	12.9	15.0	-2.08

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach LaVine	71	72	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.61	-1	3	-4	13.7	14.4	-0.71	16.2	16.3	-0.10
Ryan Arcidiacono	36	36	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.39	4	-2	6	13.6	14.0	-0.40	15.4	16.7	-1.31
Jabari Parker	61	62	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.18	9	-7	16	13.6	14.4	-0.87	16.2	16.4	-0.23
Wendell Carter Jr.	57	57	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.61	-9	11	-20	14.3	13.2	1.08	16.4	16.1	0.31
Antonio Blakeney	17	17	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	-10	22	14.6	13.7	0.86	16.8	16.2	0.61
Cameron Payne	60	60	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.25	-2	4	-6	13.9	13.9	-0.00	16.7	15.4	1.31
Cristiano Felicio	33	34	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.17	11	-9	20	12.9	14.4	-1.49	16.5	16.1	0.33
Chandler Hutchison	26	27	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	-3	8	13.1	14.2	-1.11	16.3	16.2	0.05
Justin Holiday	76	76	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.42	-12	14	-26	14.2	12.7	1.43	16.2	16.6	-0.49
Bobby Portis	38	39	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.06	-7	9	-16	14.8	13.3	1.55	16.0	16.4	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.73,0.88,0.85,0.74,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.6,0.35,0.17,0.38,0.54,0.34,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 98, CLE 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.41,0.53,0.32,0.21,0.23,0.16,1	89.6%
NJN 95, SEA 96	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.52,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.32,0.28,1	89.6%
SAS 109, LAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.29,0.34,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.42,1	89.0%