NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	88		Excitement	6.4 [588]		MVP	D.J. Augustin (ORL): +20.0%
Atlanta Hawks	94		Comeback	1.7 [726]		LVP	Nikola Vucevic (ORL): -25.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2	0.12	0.09	0.01	14	65%	0.20	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jonathan Isaac	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	11	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mario Hezonja	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	12	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Wes Iwundu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	42%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Purvis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	10	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	8	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	13	38%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.26	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26	-0.15	-0.10	0.00	19	24%	-0.26	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	-0.00	0.01	11	86%	0.19	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	11	59%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	16	53%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.04	-0.02	11	39%	0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Magette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.06	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.5	23.5	14.7	26.1	2.4	24.1	115.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +79.6%

ORL -11.5%

ATL +6.7%

ORL -26.3%

ATL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	ATL	NBA	ORL	ATL	NBA
this game	15.2	15.2	14.7	93.6	98.9	107.5
season	14.6	14.6		104.2	104.2
opponent	14.4	14.5		109.8	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.0	18.0	15.5	13.7	15.2
ATL	15.4	14.0	17.2	14.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Isaac	40	40	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.17	7	-13	20	15.1	15.3	-0.19	15.4	15.1	0.32
Wes Iwundu	54	54	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.19	7	-13	20	15.9	14.4	1.50	15.8	14.5	1.24
Nikola Vucevic	61	62	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.28	9	-15	24	15.4	15.0	0.36	15.2	15.4	-0.23
Khem Birch	13	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	1	-8	16.8	15.0	1.87	13.9	15.5	-1.54
Rodney Purvis	22	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	1	-8	16.2	14.9	1.24	14.8	15.4	-0.55
D.J. Augustin	72	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.32	1	-7	8	14.9	16.2	-1.24	15.4	14.8	0.55
Aaron Gordon	72	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.32	1	-7	8	14.9	16.2	-1.24	15.4	14.8	0.55
Bismack Biyombo	33	33	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	9	-24	15.0	15.4	-0.36	15.4	15.2	0.23
Mario Hezonja	54	55	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.16	-13	7	-20	15.3	15.1	0.19	15.1	15.4	-0.32
Shelvin Mack	49	49	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.16	-13	7	-20	14.5	16.0	-1.47	14.8	15.7	-0.84

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Dorsey	45	44	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-10	26	14.9	15.6	-0.71	14.3	16.0	-1.72
Mike Muscala	49	47	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-5	16	15.2	15.3	-0.16	15.2	15.3	-0.04
John Collins	66	64	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.29	1	5	-4	14.9	15.9	-0.99	15.4	14.9	0.49
Dewayne Dedmon	66	67	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.28	1	5	-4	15.2	15.3	-0.10	15.5	14.6	0.90
Josh Magette	37	38	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.02	11	-5	16	15.2	15.3	-0.04	14.9	15.5	-0.61
DeAndre' Bembry	28	27	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	-1	8	15.3	15.2	0.11	15.1	15.3	-0.22
Isaiah Taylor	58	56	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.34	-5	11	-16	15.3	15.2	0.04	15.5	14.9	0.61
Miles Plumlee	29	30	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	1	4	15.9	14.9	0.99	14.9	15.4	-0.49
Taurean Prince	50	52	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	10	-14	15.7	14.8	0.88	16.0	14.2	1.80
Damion Lee	47	45	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.34	-13	19	-32	15.2	15.2	-0.02	14.9	15.5	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 80, PHX 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.94,0.85,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	94.8%
SAS 91, LAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.9,0.83,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	94.1%
ORL 88, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.72,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.76,0.85,0.94,1,1	93.4%