NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	102		Excitement	6.8 [495]		MVP	Jordan Clarkson (CLE): +29.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	107		Comeback	6.4 [317]		LVP	Kevin Love (CLE): -10.8%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.16	0.08	0.01	13	77%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.10	0.00	7	79%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	18	69%	0.22	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	58%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	44%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Davis	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	19	38%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Ian Clark	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	10	35%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.29	0.29	0.14	0.15	-0.01	13	82%	0.37	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.04,0.12,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.09	0.01	24	53%	0.17	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	0.00	3	83%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.01	0.03	11	73%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	7	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	11	32%	-0.04	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	3.3	24.6	14.8	26.2	3.3	29.6	129.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +26.6%

CLE +7.3%

CLE +15.2%

NOP -0.8%

CLE +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	CLE	NBA	NOP	CLE	NBA
this game	14.0	15.8	14.7	106.2	110.3	107.5
season	13.6	14.8		108.0	111.2
opponent	14.7	14.6		110.6	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.5	13.2	14.3	15.1	14.0
CLE	14.2	16.8	15.1	17.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cheick Diallo	19	20	0.36	-0.86	1.22	-0.08	15	-20	35	17.1	13.2	3.88	19.4	14.9	4.54
Emeka Okafor	8	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-2	-1	13.2	14.1	-0.81	12.4	16.2	-3.78
Nikola Mirotic	54	54	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-7	9	15.5	12.0	3.49	17.0	14.4	2.60
E'Twaun Moore	61	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-5	5	12.7	16.2	-3.43	15.5	16.4	-0.82
Rajon Rondo	49	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	1	-7	14.6	13.4	1.23	15.8	15.9	-0.09
Ian Clark	39	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.26	0	-5	5	15.1	13.2	1.87	16.6	15.3	1.24
Darius Miller	57	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.46	2	-7	9	14.2	13.7	0.46	16.4	14.9	1.54
Solomon Hill	47	46	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.25	-7	2	-9	12.7	15.2	-2.52	14.6	17.0	-2.35
Jrue Holiday	69	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.23	-8	3	-11	13.7	14.9	-1.20	15.5	16.6	-1.07
Anthony Davis	77	77	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.28	-20	15	-35	13.2	17.1	-3.88	14.9	19.4	-4.54

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	87	87	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.34	16	-11	27	15.0	22.9	-7.87	13.3	20.6	-7.25
Tristan Thompson	43	40	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.48	9	-4	13	16.7	15.2	1.49	13.0	14.7	-1.70
Jose Calderon	25	25	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.15	15	-10	25	17.5	15.3	2.20	16.2	13.2	3.04
Jordan Clarkson	60	57	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.48	-1	6	-7	16.5	14.8	1.72	13.8	14.3	-0.54
JR Smith	39	37	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.44	-7	12	-19	17.7	14.6	3.05	14.5	13.7	0.76
Rodney Hood	60	62	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	0	5	14.6	17.8	-3.22	13.0	15.7	-2.66
Larry Nance Jr.	31	32	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.12	6	-1	7	14.4	16.5	-2.10	14.1	14.0	0.11
George Hill	46	47	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.09	-3	8	-11	15.0	16.6	-1.57	14.4	13.6	0.73
Kevin Love	46	47	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.09	-4	9	-13	16.0	15.7	0.25	15.3	12.7	2.60
Jeff Green	48	46	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.10	-11	16	-27	16.5	15.2	1.38	14.3	13.7	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.7,0.84,0.83,0.71,0.79,0.93,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 94, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.18,0.21,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.86,0.99,1	91.9%
NJN 83, BOS 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.61,0.68,0.89,0.99,0.95,1	91.3%
MIA 73, DET 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.53,0.7,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.98,1,1	91.3%