NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	115		Excitement	4.2 [1009]		MVP	Blake Griffin (DET): +19.6%
Phoenix Suns	88		Comeback	1.7 [962]		LVP	Josh Jackson (PHX): -14.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.02	0.03	15	74%	0.20	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Luke Kennard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	0.01	0.08	11	70%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Reggie Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Moreland	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.00	0.05	7	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	9	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Henry Ellenson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Buycks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	13	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
James Ennis III	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.03	9	56%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	48%	0.05	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Stanley Johnson	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	12	19%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Len	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.04	-0.01	11	83%	0.20	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.15	-0.02	0.10	9	86%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Alec Peters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ulis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	42%	-0.02	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Davon Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	13	35%	-0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.02	-0.03	19	34%	-0.10	3	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	24.4	15.3	24.6	1.8	28.0	120.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +22.2%

DET +7.3%

DET +0.6%

DET +18.0%

DET +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHX	NBA	DET	PHX	NBA
this game	14.7	14.1	14.7	113.9	88.9	107.5
season	14.9	14.2		106.4	102.6
opponent	14.3	14.7		111.8	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.8	14.2	16.1	13.7	14.7
PHX	13.4	14.6	12.7	15.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	69	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.29	26	1	25	14.8	14.4	0.36	13.7	15.2	-1.51
Stanley Johnson	60	59	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.00	15	12	3	15.1	14.1	1.03	12.8	16.1	-3.30
Ish Smith	63	62	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.25	19	8	11	14.7	14.6	0.08	13.4	15.2	-1.81
Reggie Bullock	45	46	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	16	-5	15.0	14.4	0.65	13.2	14.9	-1.67
Andre Drummond	55	54	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.08	12	15	-3	15.0	14.3	0.78	13.3	15.0	-1.71
Anthony Tolliver	53	53	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.26	16	11	5	14.7	14.6	0.07	15.6	12.4	3.21
Reggie Jackson	32	32	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.07	9	18	-9	15.3	14.4	0.97	15.7	13.4	2.33
Luke Kennard	49	47	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.27	15	12	3	14.4	14.9	-0.45	15.3	13.0	2.30
James Ennis III	48	46	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.29	13	14	-1	14.1	15.2	-1.18	15.5	12.9	2.55
Eric Moreland	17	15	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	26	-25	13.8	14.9	-1.03	14.6	14.0	0.58
Henry Ellenson	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	28	-29	12.9	14.8	-1.96	12.3	14.2	-1.96
Dwight Buycks	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	28	-29	10.8	14.9	-4.09	12.4	14.2	-1.80

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille Harrison	31	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-27	27	14.4	14.0	0.35	14.8	14.6	0.25
Alec Peters	24	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-21	15	13.9	14.2	-0.26	14.0	14.9	-0.93
Jared Dudley	32	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-24	21	13.7	14.3	-0.63	15.4	14.3	1.06
Alex Len	53	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-23	19	13.7	14.6	-0.97	14.9	14.4	0.53
Davon Reed	33	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	-18	9	15.5	13.4	2.11	14.0	15.1	-1.09
Marquese Chriss	35	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.38	-21	-6	-15	15.0	13.6	1.37	14.3	14.9	-0.63
Tyler Ulis	31	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-19	11	14.5	13.9	0.64	14.4	14.8	-0.38
Elfrid Payton	49	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.23	-16	-11	-5	13.6	14.6	-0.95	14.8	14.6	0.18
Troy Daniels	66	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.21	-18	-9	-9	13.4	15.5	-2.11	15.1	14.0	1.09
Dragan Bender	63	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.30	-24	-3	-21	14.9	12.7	2.23	14.3	15.3	-1.06
Josh Jackson	78	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.29	-26	-1	-25	13.6	15.9	-2.28	14.9	13.8	1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 114, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.25,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
IND 108, LAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
IND 103, BKN 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%