NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	123		Excitement	13.1 [6]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +58.6%
New Orleans Pelicans	124		Comeback	4.6 [341]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (NOP): -16.6%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0.39	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.17,0.17,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.14	0.26	0.01	22	62%	0.42	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Tyler Johnson	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	10	68%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Johnson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0.13	-0.08	0.20	-0.01	15	37%	0.22	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Bam Adebayo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Luke Babbitt	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.18,-0.03	-0.09	0.02	-0.04	20	38%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.08
Hassan Whiteside	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.07	-0.01	12	63%	0.14	5	-0.18	6	17%	-0.08
Justise Winslow	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Wayne Ellington	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	6	40%	-0.04	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Josh Richardson	-0.14	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.14	0.03	-0.15	0.01	14	52%	-0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.15,0.32,0.59	0.59	0.19	0.40	0.00	34	57%	0.65	2	-0.07	11	91%	0.09
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.03,0.04,0.11,0.09,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.37	0.37	0.05	0.33	0.02	20	63%	0.62	5	-0.25	6	100%	0.03
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.19	0.03	0.00	11	95%	0.24	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.12	-0.00	10	45%	0.13	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
DeAndre Liggins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Walter Lemon Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	10	45%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	23%	-0.01	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	8	25%	-0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.5	1.8	26.0	14.5	25.2	1.7	38.6	2.7	15.3	154.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	3.2	17.5	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +38.0%

NOP +26.4%

MIA -3.3%

MIA -16.3%

NOP +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NOP	NBA	MIA	NOP	NBA
this game	14.5	12.2	14.7	104.2	103.3	107.5
season	15.1	13.6		105.4	108.0
opponent	14.6	14.6		107.0	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIA	14.3	14.7	13.3	16.2	14.5	14.5
NOP	12.4	11.6	11.5	13.8	11.8	12.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justise Winslow	38	37	0.35	-0.85	1.19	-0.01	12	-13	25	14.3	14.6	-0.27	12.6	12.0	0.59
Hassan Whiteside	75	80	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.13	-1	0	-1	14.2	15.1	-0.97	12.3	12.0	0.25
Luke Babbitt	13	13	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-2	3	14.5	14.5	0.01	13.5	12.1	1.40
Tyler Johnson	63	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-3	5	14.6	14.4	0.20	12.5	11.9	0.59
Wayne Ellington	54	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	2	-5	15.6	13.6	2.04	12.8	11.8	0.99
Bam Adebayo	41	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.37	2	-3	5	14.9	14.3	0.62	11.9	12.4	-0.44
Goran Dragic	83	84	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-3	5	14.4	14.7	-0.31	12.4	11.7	0.71
Dwyane Wade	59	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.38	-1	0	-1	13.9	15.1	-1.19	11.9	12.5	-0.61
Josh Richardson	88	91	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.41	-6	5	-11	14.1	15.8	-1.75	11.6	14.1	-2.49
James Johnson	76	78	-0.83	0.33	-1.17	-0.45	-13	12	-25	15.0	13.7	1.22	12.0	12.6	-0.66

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Mirotic	79	75	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.48	8	-7	15	11.9	12.8	-0.82	14.7	14.2	0.53
Jrue Holiday	88	86	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.48	-2	3	-5	12.1	12.4	-0.26	14.4	14.8	-0.44
Anthony Davis	94	92	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.45	-3	4	-7	12.3	11.8	0.47	14.4	14.9	-0.51
E'Twaun Moore	71	69	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.36	0	1	-1	11.4	13.4	-2.01	14.3	14.8	-0.43
Ian Clark	73	73	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	-5	11	12.1	12.5	-0.41	15.2	13.4	1.75
Emeka Okafor	40	41	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	0	1	12.9	11.9	1.02	14.3	14.7	-0.39
Rajon Rondo	60	59	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	-2	5	12.1	12.3	-0.23	14.4	14.7	-0.27
Darius Miller	52	52	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.07	-2	3	-5	13.5	11.2	2.26	14.6	14.5	0.06
Walter Lemon Jr.	9	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	5	-9	14.3	12.0	2.29	13.2	14.6	-1.41
Cheick Diallo	22	23	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.07	-3	4	-7	11.7	12.3	-0.65	14.5	14.5	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.47,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.25,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 108, CLE 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.18,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.51,0.39,0.61,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.54,0.55,0.29,0.55,0.58,1	89.0%
MIL 86, CHA 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.58,1	88.4%
PHI 97, LAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.61,0.45,0.78,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.43,0.77,1	88.4%