NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	129		Excitement	7.6 [359]		MVP	DeAndre Jordan (LAC): +27.0%
Boston Celtics	119		Comeback	2.0 [373]		LVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): -8.3%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.21	0.09	0.03	14	81%	0.36	2	-0.09	9	89%	0.03
Tobias Harris	0.21	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.11	0.10	-0.00	16	62%	0.23	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Montrezl Harrell	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	5	64%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Milos Teodosic	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	-0.01	6	71%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Lou Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.08	0.03	18	45%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	11	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	10	100%	0.05
Austin Rivers	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	10	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.02	0.02	21	69%	0.29	4	-0.15	6	100%	0.04
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	8	72%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.01	12	50%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	3	80%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.04	0.05	17	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aron Baynes	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	13	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	12	46%	0.01	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	3.3	28.9	14.7	29.7	3.3	33.5	139.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +33.4%

LAC +16.8%

BOS -6.7%

LAC +4.4%

LAC +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	BOS	NBA	LAC	BOS	NBA
this game	13.9	14.3	14.7	127.7	115.5	107.5
season	14.2	15.1		109.2	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.6		103.5	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	11.3	13.4	15.1	16.3	13.9
BOS	14.8	14.3	13.2	15.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	83	85	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.24	19	-9	28	13.8	14.4	-0.61	14.2	14.8	-0.59
Austin Rivers	73	76	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.31	16	-6	22	14.2	13.2	0.96	14.6	13.6	1.00
Lou Williams	67	68	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.18	16	-6	22	13.6	14.6	-1.02	14.1	14.6	-0.47
Danilo Gallinari	82	85	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.24	13	-3	16	14.5	11.6	2.91	14.8	12.1	2.64
DeAndre Jordan	67	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-2	14	13.8	14.3	-0.53	14.4	14.1	0.30
Montrezl Harrell	34	34	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	12	-14	14.3	13.8	0.53	14.1	14.4	-0.30
Wesley Johnson	8	7	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	12	-14	9.9	14.3	-4.42	10.1	14.6	-4.45
Sam Dekker	7	7	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	14	-18	12.1	14.1	-1.93	12.0	14.5	-2.46
Milos Teodosic	38	38	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.12	-5	15	-20	13.5	14.2	-0.75	13.5	14.8	-1.25
Avery Bradley	46	46	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	0.03	-13	23	-36	14.6	13.4	1.23	15.1	13.7	1.40

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Theis	24	23	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.05	0	-10	10	14.9	14.1	0.82	13.0	14.2	-1.27
Greg Monroe	22	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	-5	0	13.3	14.6	-1.24	11.6	14.6	-3.00
Jaylen Brown	75	73	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.24	4	-14	18	14.7	13.2	1.48	14.1	13.6	0.46
Aron Baynes	32	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-2	-6	15.0	14.0	1.07	13.3	14.2	-0.94
Marcus Morris	77	76	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-12	14	13.6	16.3	-2.75	14.1	13.3	0.82
Jayson Tatum	64	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.27	-1	-9	8	14.7	13.7	1.01	15.0	12.1	2.89
Terry Rozier	64	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.01	-15	5	-20	14.1	14.6	-0.44	12.8	15.8	-3.01
Al Horford	74	72	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.21	-13	3	-16	14.5	13.7	0.84	14.8	11.8	3.06
Kyrie Irving	83	81	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.19	-14	4	-18	14.0	15.5	-1.56	14.1	13.4	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.17,0.2,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.43,0.27,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.11,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 88, LAC 79	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0,0	93.3%
ATL 80, DAL 75	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.34,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.11,0.22,0.06,0.05,0	92.7%
NJN 83, CHA 74	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.28,0.32,0.1,0.09,0.01,0	92.3%