NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	107		Excitement	3.8 [1078]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (MIN): +12.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	118		Comeback	1.0 [1239]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -9.8%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	-0.00	0.03	30	58%	0.13	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Nikola Mirotic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	13	58%	0.06	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	6	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	6	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Cooke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	12	37%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.06	8	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	13	31%	-0.04	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	21	59%	0.14	2	-0.02	9	67%	-0.02
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.00	0.00	16	61%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.00	9	75%	0.10	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	9	67%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	14	54%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Georges-Hunt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	9	42%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	7	36%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	25.0	15.7	23.5	1.7	28.1	121.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +41.6%

NOP -0.1%

MIN +7.1%

MIN +1.8%

NOP -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	MIN	NBA	NOP	MIN	NBA
this game	13.3	14.5	14.7	103.9	113.5	107.5
season	13.6	15.3		108.0	111.8
opponent	14.4	14.6		110.2	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.4	15.0	12.4	13.4	13.3
MIN	14.2	12.3	15.8	16.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Cooke	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	7.7	13.5	-5.79	16.0	14.4	1.55
Mike James	17	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-12	13	12.6	13.5	-0.87	12.4	15.0	-2.56
Darius Miller	47	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.28	6	-17	23	13.6	13.0	0.60	14.5	14.5	-0.04
Ian Clark	67	68	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.29	5	-16	21	13.2	13.4	-0.21	14.6	14.4	0.14
Cheick Diallo	32	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-9	7	15.2	12.5	2.77	13.4	15.0	-1.64
Nikola Mirotic	74	76	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.36	6	-17	23	13.1	13.9	-0.77	14.5	14.4	0.11
Anthony Davis	78	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-7	3	12.7	15.4	-2.71	15.2	12.4	2.72
Rajon Rondo	44	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	4	-19	13.5	13.2	0.25	15.3	13.9	1.40
E'Twaun Moore	28	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.20	-19	8	-27	13.2	13.4	-0.18	14.4	14.6	-0.21
Dante Cunningham	44	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.15	-18	7	-25	13.6	13.1	0.57	13.7	15.1	-1.40
Jrue Holiday	80	78	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.00	-17	6	-23	13.5	12.7	0.74	14.7	13.9	0.83

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Wiggins	82	80	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-4	19	14.4	14.8	-0.33	13.5	12.6	0.96
Jeff Teague	58	57	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.22	23	-12	35	14.2	14.9	-0.68	13.4	13.2	0.13
Jimmy Butler	79	80	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	-1	13	14.7	14.0	0.62	12.9	14.9	-2.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	71	70	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.01	14	-3	17	15.0	13.4	1.68	12.8	14.4	-1.64
Taj Gibson	71	71	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	2	7	15.3	12.8	2.43	12.7	14.6	-1.91
Nemanja Bjelica	33	32	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	9	-7	12.8	15.3	-2.43	14.6	12.7	1.91
Gorgui Dieng	33	33	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.18	-3	14	-17	13.4	15.0	-1.68	14.4	12.8	1.64
Jamal Crawford	45	44	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.18	-3	14	-17	14.2	14.7	-0.55	14.0	12.8	1.28
Tyus Jones	44	44	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.34	-10	21	-31	14.7	14.3	0.38	13.5	13.1	0.41
Aaron Brooks	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	18.5	14.4	4.07	6.5	13.4	-6.95
Marcus Georges-Hunt	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	18.5	14.4	4.07	6.5	13.4	-6.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 80, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
LAC 84, HOU 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
SAS 83, SAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%