inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 110 Excitement3.4 [1146] MVPJason Terry (MIL): +12.7%
Chicago Bulls 96 Comeback1.2 [856] LVPZach LaVine (CHI): -13.0%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Terry0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.010.016100%0.1300.0000%0.00
Sterling Brown0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.020.02875%0.1000.0000%0.00
Matthew Dellavedova0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.003100%0.061-0.021100%0.00
Khris Middleton0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.00-0.021462%0.074-0.03475%-0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo0.040,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.02-0.021956%0.084-0.041050%0.00
John Henson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.000.01663%0.051-0.02757%-0.01
Tony Snell0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.000.013100%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Thon Maker0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.00-0.04430%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Rashad Vaughn0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marshall Plumlee0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
D.J. Wilson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sean Kilpatrick-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Eric Bledsoe-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.021135%-0.002-0.051100%-0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Denzel Valentine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.140.000.031275%0.1100.0000%0.00
Nikola Mirotic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.00-0.01771%0.071-0.0000%0.00
Lauri Markkanen0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.07-0.010.041074%0.083-0.053100%0.00
Quincy Pondexter00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cristiano Felicio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Paul Zipser0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jerian Grant0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.000.051068%0.023-0.05250%-0.00
David Nwaba0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.08-0.01-0.04125%-0.013-0.03250%-0.01
Robin Lopez0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.000.031040%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Bobby Portis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.120.01-0.06929%-0.012-0.04683%0.02
Justin Holiday0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.010.031346%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Zach LaVine0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.12-0.01-0.001125%-0.112-0.022100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.41.725.115.826.51.830.5123.7
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +44.0%
MIL +1.6%
CHI -6.0%
MIL +7.5%
MIL +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILCHINBAMILCHINBA
this game14.814.714.7113.498.0107.5
season14.314.2108.5103.2
opponent15.015.4110.2108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL14.213.016.016.114.8
CHI12.517.514.714.514.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sterling Brown57590.350.150.190.02113813.516.7-3.2315.114.11.01
Tony Snell55560.340.160.18-0.071401415.613.81.7515.214.11.16
Khris Middleton63640.330.170.170.1086215.413.71.6914.814.50.31
Giannis Antetokounmpo70700.320.180.140.0986215.313.51.8314.415.7-1.32
Eric Bledsoe59610.320.180.14-0.031221015.513.71.8414.814.70.09
John Henson56550.250.250.01-0.04104615.713.52.2414.415.2-0.85
Thon Maker37400.250.25-0.010.16311-813.315.7-2.4415.314.31.04
Matthew Dellavedova34340.180.32-0.140.15113-1213.515.5-2.0514.814.70.09
Jason Terry38390.160.34-0.180.19-115-1613.615.6-1.9314.115.1-1.01
Rashad Vaughn430.000.50-0.50-0.03113-1215.514.80.7313.314.8-1.45
Marshall Plumlee430.000.50-0.50-0.03113-1215.514.80.7313.314.8-1.45
Sean Kilpatrick430.000.50-0.50-0.03113-1215.514.80.7313.314.8-1.45
D.J. Wilson430.000.50-0.50-0.03113-1215.514.80.7313.314.8-1.45

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cristiano Felicio340.00-0.500.500.03-1-131213.314.8-1.4515.514.80.73
Paul Zipser340.00-0.500.500.03-1-131213.314.8-1.4515.514.80.73
Quincy Pondexter23-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-13128.514.9-6.3616.714.71.92
Bobby Portis2928-0.14-0.360.210.00-5-9414.814.70.0312.915.6-2.74
Ryan Arcidiacono1312-0.15-0.350.200.09-8-6-215.114.70.3913.715.0-1.20
David Nwaba3534-0.22-0.280.060.10-11-3-815.714.21.4313.815.3-1.56
Zach LaVine5356-0.23-0.270.030.06-10-4-614.814.60.2514.315.5-1.27
Robin Lopez3940-0.26-0.24-0.020.15-140-1415.014.50.4814.515.0-0.52
Justin Holiday6363-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.19-3-11814.215.7-1.4315.313.81.56
Nikola Mirotic5755-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.26-1-131214.615.0-0.3714.814.8-0.01
Jerian Grant6463-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.14-5-9414.615.1-0.5015.413.61.83
Lauri Markkanen6664-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.13-6-8214.914.30.6315.713.02.69
Denzel Valentine6359-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.21-4-10614.814.60.2114.814.8-0.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 88, MIL 670.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.7%
CLE 111, NYK 1040.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,096.7%
BOS 95, MIA 850.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,096.5%