inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 129 Excitement2.8 [1222] MVPMarkieff Morris (WAS): +11.0%
Atlanta Hawks 104 Comeback1.0 [995] LVPKent Bazemore (ATL): -11.9%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Markieff Morris0.110,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.190.000.081288%0.131-0.02250%-0.00
Mike Scott0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.140.000.031373%0.1100.0000%0.00
Bradley Beal0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.011164%0.082-0.026100%0.02
Kelly Oubre Jr.0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.090.000.031260%0.0600.001100%0.00
Tomas Satoransky0.050,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.090.000.04592%0.071-0.022100%0.01
Otto Porter Jr.0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.070.000.041175%0.083-0.042100%0.01
Ian Mahinmi0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02371%0.001-0.001100%-0.00
Jason Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris McCullough0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcin Gortat-0.000,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01560%0.002-0.0100%0.00
Jodie Meeks-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.050.000.06667%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tim Frazier-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.000.00540%-0.032-0.0200%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Dorsey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.110.000.07674%0.0400.00786%0.01
Taurean Prince0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.000.011158%0.0410.002100%0.01
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.070.000.04871%0.051-0.021100%0.00
Miles Plumlee0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.08-0.000.08978%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.05-0.00-0.061035%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.090.000.08683%0.0100.0000%0.00
Luke Babbitt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.06-0.000.07489%0.011-0.021100%-0.00
Malcolm Delaney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.000.04650%-0.021-0.022100%0.00
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.14-0.00-0.061230%-0.053-0.03650%0.00
Kent Bazemore0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.150.00-0.03915%-0.092-0.03250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.52.428.315.426.32.326.0128.3
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +41.6%
WAS +3.8%
ATL -0.4%
WAS +3.4%
WAS +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASATLNBAWASATLNBA
this game14.415.914.7135.8109.5107.5
season14.814.6108.2104.2
opponent14.414.7109.8107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS13.115.713.715.114.4
ATL17.517.913.415.615.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelly Oubre Jr.53520.360.140.21-0.14178913.515.5-2.0716.615.21.39
Markieff Morris59580.360.140.21-0.292231915.312.92.3416.015.90.05
Bradley Beal60620.340.160.17-0.101510514.214.6-0.3215.516.7-1.15
Tim Frazier53510.290.210.08-0.091312114.214.5-0.3216.515.31.13
Marcin Gortat38400.240.26-0.02-0.111213-114.214.5-0.3114.916.7-1.85
Otto Porter Jr.61610.210.29-0.07-0.111114-315.612.13.5515.816.2-0.45
Tomas Satoransky42440.210.29-0.08-0.141213-114.514.20.3215.316.5-1.13
Ian Mahinmi29280.190.31-0.130.07421-1712.915.0-2.1217.215.41.75
Jodie Meeks20190.180.32-0.15-0.151114-313.114.7-1.6116.315.90.46
Mike Scott44440.140.36-0.230.14025-2515.413.51.9817.114.92.17
Jason Smith880.000.50-0.50-0.12421-1711.514.6-3.1312.916.2-3.35
Chris McCullough880.000.50-0.50-0.12421-1711.514.6-3.1312.916.2-3.35

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Babbitt880.00-0.500.500.12-4-211712.916.2-3.3511.514.6-3.13
Miles Plumlee2019-0.14-0.360.220.15-10-15516.415.80.5714.714.30.46
Malcolm Delaney3232-0.15-0.350.21-0.212-272915.616.1-0.4913.714.7-0.98
Dewayne Dedmon4645-0.18-0.320.15-0.06-4-211715.816.1-0.3214.114.6-0.45
Tyler Dorsey4042-0.18-0.320.140.09-9-16715.816.1-0.2515.113.81.26
Mike Muscala3435-0.18-0.320.130.14-11-14316.615.61.0414.614.20.32
Kent Bazemore3736-0.20-0.300.100.10-10-15514.916.6-1.6815.413.71.73
Marco Belinelli5857-0.20-0.300.100.27-16-9-715.616.5-0.8413.715.4-1.71
John Collins3536-0.25-0.250.00-0.01-8-17916.315.70.5414.014.6-0.55
Ersan Ilyasova4747-0.25-0.25-0.000.13-13-12-115.716.2-0.4915.013.71.33
Dennis Schroder5857-0.34-0.16-0.190.04-13-12-115.516.6-1.1014.913.51.40
Taurean Prince6061-0.43-0.07-0.370.42-294-3317.613.14.4413.715.6-1.85


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 89, NYK 580.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.0%
SAS 116, LAC 900.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.7%
POR 98, WAS 790.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.7%