NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	108		Excitement	2.9 [1212]		MVP	Fred VanVleet (TOR): +14.3%
Atlanta Hawks	93		Comeback	1.1 [1115]		LVP	Taurean Prince (ATL): -6.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred VanVleet	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.19	0.00	0.05	9	90%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
OG Anunoby	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	5	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	9	60%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	14	52%	0.02	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	7	43%	0.01	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucas Nogueira	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	8	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	12	47%	-0.00	3	-0.04	6	83%	-0.01
Kyle Lowry	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	10	43%	0.01	4	-0.05	1	0%	-0.00
Delon Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.02	4	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	13	43%	0.01	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	9	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.06	11	52%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	19	50%	0.01	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.07	0.00	0.11	6	75%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.18	0.00	-0.12	8	25%	-0.04	6	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.4	25.4	14.4	33.2	1.8	25.2	130.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +34.8%

TOR +6.1%

TOR +5.3%

TOR +3.7%

TOR +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ATL	NBA	TOR	ATL	NBA
this game	13.0	14.6	14.7	102.9	89.4	107.5
season	14.6	14.6		112.7	104.2
opponent	14.4	14.8		109.8	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	11.2	11.7	15.1	13.9	13.0
ATL	15.9	15.5	13.1	13.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Valanciunas	49	51	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.15	19	-4	23	13.8	12.2	1.64	15.4	13.9	1.47
Kyle Lowry	60	59	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	-1	17	13.6	12.1	1.49	14.6	14.6	0.01
Serge Ibaka	49	50	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.16	17	-2	19	14.0	12.0	2.02	15.4	13.9	1.45
DeMar DeRozan	57	58	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	4	7	14.0	11.8	2.19	14.5	14.8	-0.28
OG Anunoby	50	48	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	7	1	14.5	11.6	2.90	14.2	14.9	-0.74
Fred VanVleet	42	41	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.18	13	2	11	11.2	14.1	-2.87	15.5	14.0	1.42
Pascal Siakam	48	47	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	9	-3	11.6	14.1	-2.54	14.2	14.9	-0.72
Norman Powell	24	22	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.38	-8	23	-31	13.3	12.9	0.43	13.2	15.0	-1.75
Delon Wright	41	42	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	13	-11	11.5	13.9	-2.34	15.0	14.3	0.70
Jakob Poeltl	42	40	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.23	11	4	7	10.9	14.3	-3.39	14.6	14.6	0.03
CJ Miles	36	37	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.15	8	7	1	11.0	14.0	-2.99	15.3	14.2	1.03
Alfonzo McKinnie	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.38	-13	28	-41	15.7	12.6	3.12	11.2	15.0	-3.79
Lucas Nogueira	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.44	-15	30	-45	16.0	12.5	3.51	11.6	15.0	-3.42

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Taylor	22	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.48	16	-31	47	13.1	15.0	-1.86	13.7	12.8	0.94
Mike Muscala	28	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.09	-4	-11	7	14.7	14.6	0.15	12.3	13.2	-0.92
Luke Babbitt	36	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.28	8	-23	31	13.9	15.0	-1.05	12.1	13.5	-1.33
Malcolm Delaney	31	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-11	7	15.3	14.3	0.98	11.6	13.6	-1.97
Tyler Dorsey	29	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.14	-8	-7	-1	15.6	14.2	1.31	12.8	13.0	-0.19
John Collins	58	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.58	15	-30	45	13.6	15.9	-2.38	13.2	12.7	0.55
Taurean Prince	29	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-8	1	15.2	14.4	0.79	15.3	12.2	3.12
Dewayne Dedmon	42	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.30	-18	3	-21	15.0	14.4	0.62	11.9	13.6	-1.74
Miles Plumlee	40	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	-12	9	14.6	14.6	-0.01	13.7	12.5	1.22
Kent Bazemore	56	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	1	-17	14.3	15.0	-0.69	13.4	12.4	0.97
Ersan Ilyasova	40	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.22	-20	5	-25	15.7	13.9	1.74	13.4	12.7	0.70
Marco Belinelli	50	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	1	-17	15.0	14.2	0.80	12.0	13.9	-1.91
Dennis Schroder	59	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	3	-21	14.4	14.8	-0.42	13.4	12.4	1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 119, DET 82	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
SAS 107, ORL 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
POR 108, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	97.2%