NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	131		Excitement	5.8 [685]		MVP	Kevin Love (CLE): +24.7%
Orlando Magic	127		Comeback	1.8 [976]		LVP	Jae Crowder (CLE): -6.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.20	0.08	0.03	17	69%	0.25	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
LeBron James	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.21	0.12	0.05	-0.04	23	62%	0.25	3	-0.04	7	71%	-0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.00	-0.08	6	60%	0.10	2	-0.02	3	33%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06	0.00	0.02	-0.04	13	61%	0.15	5	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01
Dwyane Wade	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	9	70%	0.08	2	-0.02	5	40%	0.00
JR Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.03	4	83%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Cedi Osman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Korver	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	4	37%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.04	6	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	7	86%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	26	52%	0.12	4	-0.10	6	50%	-0.01
Evan Fournier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.05	-0.02	14	55%	0.12	5	-0.10	5	80%	0.02
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0	0.00	0.06	-0.01	0.04	13	67%	0.08	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	14	55%	0.06	4	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	2.0	29.3	15.3	29.4	1.7	34.1	140.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +27.9%

CLE +1.6%

CLE +0.3%

CLE +20.6%

ORL -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ORL	NBA	CLE	ORL	NBA
this game	13.4	13.0	14.7	120.2	116.5	107.5
season	14.8	14.6		111.2	104.2
opponent	14.5	14.7		109.1	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.0	12.5	13.4	14.8	13.4
ORL	13.6	15.8	12.3	10.6	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	56	56	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.25	29	-25	54	13.0	13.9	-0.89	13.8	12.1	1.71
LeBron James	85	86	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.13	15	-11	26	13.4	13.6	-0.25	12.6	14.6	-2.05
JR Smith	67	66	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.03	18	-14	32	13.4	13.4	0.00	12.8	13.2	-0.36
Kevin Love	62	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-8	20	13.9	12.8	1.13	12.7	13.4	-0.69
Cedi Osman	30	30	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.15	13	-9	22	12.1	13.9	-1.84	12.6	13.1	-0.54
Isaiah Thomas	47	48	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.32	-3	7	-10	14.6	12.5	2.08	14.0	12.2	1.84
Dwyane Wade	58	59	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.43	-9	13	-22	13.2	13.6	-0.41	12.1	14.0	-1.90
Tristan Thompson	47	46	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.36	-8	12	-20	12.8	13.9	-1.13	13.4	12.7	0.69
Jeff Green	50	49	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.64	-27	31	-58	14.1	12.9	1.24	12.1	13.7	-1.69
Kyle Korver	43	42	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.38	-20	24	-44	13.2	13.6	-0.37	14.4	12.1	2.30

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	30	31	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.12	7	-11	18	12.8	13.1	-0.22	11.1	14.3	-3.22
Shelvin Mack	14	14	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-8	12	17.5	12.3	5.17	12.0	13.6	-1.64
Arron Afflalo	20	21	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-9	14	17.0	12.1	4.91	14.8	13.1	1.65
D.J. Augustin	59	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-1	-2	13.0	13.0	-0.05	12.3	14.7	-2.43
Elfrid Payton	63	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.31	1	-5	6	12.2	14.1	-1.90	13.9	12.8	1.01
Wes Iwundu	47	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	10	-24	13.9	12.3	1.66	13.3	13.6	-0.30
Aaron Gordon	70	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-6	8	12.6	13.7	-1.05	14.0	12.3	1.67
Mario Hezonja	89	86	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.62	8	-12	20	13.0	13.0	-0.01	13.9	11.5	2.42
Evan Fournier	90	90	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.19	-11	7	-18	12.0	17.8	-5.88	13.1	15.2	-2.15
Bismack Biyombo	63	62	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.03	-19	15	-34	12.8	13.3	-0.47	14.4	12.2	2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.55,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0,0.02,0.11,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 90, CLE 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.59,0.44,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
POR 111, OKC 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
POR 130, PHI 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.29,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%