NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	91		Excitement	4.4 [960]		MVP	Jamal Murray (DEN): +27.8%
Denver Nuggets	99		Comeback	1.9 [849]		LVP	Nikola Jokic (DEN): -13.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Rubio	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.01	0.05	9	83%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	61%	0.11	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.04	13	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	11	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Hood	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	9	67%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	7	64%	0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	10	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	9	28%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.26	0.07	0.05	13	93%	0.30	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.18	0.05	0.01	17	65%	0.21	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	4	90%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	15	40%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Wilson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	5	27%	-0.00	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	14	45%	0.01	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	13	29%	-0.11	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	0.2	26.7	14.6	26.6	2.5	23.3	117.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +22.6%

DEN +4.2%

UTA -3.7%

DEN +23.0%

DEN +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DEN	NBA	UTA	DEN	NBA
this game	14.5	15.4	14.7	93.8	103.1	107.5
season	15.1	14.7		106.6	111.2
opponent	14.7	14.6		109.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.5	13.6	14.9	15.1	14.5
DEN	13.8	15.2	13.9	19.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	45	44	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-4	0	14.4	14.5	-0.14	14.9	15.8	-0.86
Joe Ingles	64	63	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.37	11	-19	30	14.0	15.4	-1.44	15.6	14.9	0.76
Royce O'Neale	17	16	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	-2	-4	14.8	14.4	0.42	14.3	15.6	-1.28
Ekpe Udoh	24	22	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	0	-8	16.2	13.9	2.30	16.5	15.1	1.40
Alec Burks	37	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-8	8	15.0	14.2	0.81	16.9	14.4	2.56
Derrick Favors	70	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-11	14	13.8	16.1	-2.32	15.0	16.3	-1.28
Rodney Hood	60	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.41	5	-13	18	13.7	15.6	-1.90	15.5	15.2	0.22
Donovan Mitchell	73	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.29	1	-9	10	14.1	15.7	-1.64	15.3	15.7	-0.48
Joe Johnson	48	48	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.05	-17	9	-26	15.1	13.9	1.25	15.0	15.8	-0.83
Ricky Rubio	47	45	-0.59	0.10	-0.69	0.14	-25	17	-42	15.7	13.3	2.34	15.1	15.6	-0.54

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wilson Chandler	66	67	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	3	2	15.5	15.2	0.30	14.5	14.3	0.20
Jamal Murray	65	66	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.13	10	-2	12	15.1	16.0	-0.92	14.2	15.1	-0.91
Trey Lyles	53	56	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	-3	14	15.4	15.3	0.13	14.9	13.9	1.07
Gary Harris	73	74	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	1	6	15.5	15.1	0.38	14.6	14.1	0.51
Nikola Jokic	65	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	2	4	15.1	16.0	-0.88	14.2	15.0	-0.78
Will Barton	65	66	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-1	9	-10	16.2	13.6	2.65	14.4	14.7	-0.35
Malik Beasley	33	33	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	11	-14	16.1	15.0	1.09	14.8	14.3	0.43
Mason Plumlee	38	37	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	5	-2	14.4	16.0	-1.67	14.3	14.6	-0.24
Torrey Craig	22	21	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	6	-4	14.5	15.6	-1.14	14.5	14.5	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.49,0.52,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 121, LAC 128	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.76,0.91,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.9%
MIL 85, MIA 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,1,0.99,1	94.6%
PHI 85, PHX 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%