NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	99		Excitement	6.9 [483]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (ATL): +24.1%
Atlanta Hawks	113		Comeback	2.5 [243]		LVP	Ian Mahinmi (WAS): -13.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.02	19	48%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jodie Meeks	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	6	82%	0.13	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.04	7	79%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	13	54%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris McCullough	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.05	0.04	10	69%	0.07	4	-0.14	6	67%	-0.01
John Wall	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	9	40%	-0.00	2	-0.07	7	57%	-0.03
Marcin Gortat	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.16	0.08	-0.01	11	76%	0.24	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Dennis Schroder	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.08	-0.01	15	57%	0.14	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.04
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	7	50%	0.11	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	8	39%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	10	55%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.04	0.05	14	61%	0.05	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Isaiah Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.05	5	69%	0.00	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Tyler Cavanaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	14	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.6	30.2	10.8	28.7	1.7	32.0	127.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +21.5%

WAS -1.1%

ATL +17.5%

ATL +10.6%

ATL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	13.4	15.7	14.7	100.0	114.1	107.5
season	14.8	14.6		108.2	104.2
opponent	14.4	14.7		109.8	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.0	13.2	13.1	12.5	13.4
ATL	15.0	17.4	14.6	15.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris McCullough	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	4.2	13.8	-9.55	20.5	15.5	5.03
Marcin Gortat	41	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-13	12	13.4	13.4	0.04	16.0	15.4	0.60
Tomas Satoransky	25	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-16	18	13.2	13.5	-0.34	16.2	15.5	0.75
Otto Porter Jr.	65	65	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.14	-10	-4	-6	13.0	14.3	-1.34	15.5	16.1	-0.58
Markieff Morris	66	66	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.14	-10	-4	-6	13.0	14.2	-1.24	15.5	16.0	-0.53
Ian Mahinmi	37	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-9	4	14.5	12.8	1.76	15.1	16.0	-0.93
Bradley Beal	73	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	-1	-12	13.3	13.7	-0.33	15.3	16.7	-1.41
Jodie Meeks	31	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-11	8	14.0	13.1	0.90	16.7	15.2	1.54
Mike Scott	36	36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-10	6	14.4	12.9	1.49	16.4	15.3	1.16
John Wall	70	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	2	-18	13.4	13.3	0.10	15.3	16.6	-1.24
Kelly Oubre Jr.	47	47	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	0	-14	13.6	13.2	0.39	15.5	15.8	-0.36

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	47	48	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.13	19	-5	24	15.9	15.5	0.37	13.9	13.0	0.94
Marco Belinelli	42	42	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.01	23	-9	32	15.3	15.9	-0.64	14.8	12.4	2.34
Malcolm Delaney	37	39	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.02	21	-7	28	15.4	15.8	-0.43	14.1	13.0	1.09
Tyler Cavanaugh	35	37	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.31	8	6	2	16.4	15.3	1.12	14.2	12.9	1.28
Isaiah Taylor	30	31	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	10	-6	16.3	15.4	0.89	14.2	13.0	1.18
Dennis Schroder	69	68	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.17	10	4	6	15.4	16.3	-0.89	13.0	14.2	-1.18
Ersan Ilyasova	64	62	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.22	6	8	-2	15.3	16.4	-1.12	12.9	14.2	-1.28
Taurean Prince	67	66	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	17	-20	16.0	14.9	1.14	12.5	15.3	-2.79
Kent Bazemore	54	53	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.05	-8	22	-30	15.9	15.4	0.47	13.2	13.6	-0.40
Miles Plumlee	50	49	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.11	-10	24	-34	15.3	16.1	-0.80	12.7	14.1	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.46,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 116, SAC 126	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.2,0.21,0.35,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.68,0.71,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.95,1,1,1,1	93.8%
PHI 93, MIA 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.8%
SAC 90, GSW 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.95,1,1,0.97,1	93.5%