NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	108		Excitement	7.8 [326]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +21.2%
New Orleans Pelicans	115		Comeback	3.6 [404]		LVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): -14.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Liggins	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	87%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08	0.08	-0.01	-0.00	24	57%	0.13	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.03
Rashad Vaughn	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06	0.11	-0.02	0.04	8	74%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Joel Bolomboy	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	12	46%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Payton II	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	32%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Eric Bledsoe	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	14	47%	0.06	5	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01
Khris Middleton	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	19	37%	-0.11	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.11	0.02	16	68%	0.28	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.03	0.03	11	87%	0.21	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.08	-0.00	14	50%	0.15	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Omer Asik	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.03	16	72%	0.25	9	-0.30	4	100%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	6	42%	-0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	25.6	14.7	25.2	2.3	28.5	122.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +59.1%

NOP +5.0%

NOP +21.8%

MIL -36.4%

NOP +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NOP	NBA	MIL	NOP	NBA
this game	14.7	15.0	14.7	110.2	119.8	107.5
season	14.3	13.6		108.5	108.0
opponent	14.6	15.4		107.0	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.5	14.6	14.3	15.5	14.7
NOP	15.5	13.7	15.7	15.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton II	36	35	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.04	6	-13	19	12.6	16.0	-3.43	16.6	14.0	2.57
Thon Maker	27	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-8	9	14.2	14.9	-0.69	14.4	15.2	-0.75
Eric Bledsoe	66	65	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-10	13	14.4	15.5	-1.11	15.0	15.0	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	37	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	-5	3	14.6	14.8	-0.21	14.6	15.2	-0.53
Joel Bolomboy	14	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-2	-3	16.9	14.4	2.49	15.4	14.9	0.45
Khris Middleton	73	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.37	1	-8	9	14.9	14.2	0.76	15.1	14.5	0.63
Giannis Antetokounmpo	85	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.19	-7	0	-7	14.8	14.5	0.30	15.2	13.2	2.01
John Henson	59	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.30	-5	-2	-3	14.4	15.2	-0.76	15.1	14.7	0.38
DeAndre Liggins	37	37	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.15	-12	5	-17	15.4	14.3	1.05	13.9	15.6	-1.75
Malcolm Brogdon	56	54	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.25	-15	8	-23	15.9	13.1	2.77	14.2	15.9	-1.66

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	74	76	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.41	10	-3	13	15.2	14.3	0.84	15.0	13.7	1.29
Anthony Davis	72	74	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.28	11	-4	15	15.2	14.3	0.85	14.7	14.7	-0.03
Jameer Nelson	58	60	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-3	13	14.3	16.0	-1.75	15.8	12.9	2.90
DeMarcus Cousins	72	74	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	3	1	15.2	14.1	1.13	14.9	14.2	0.63
E'Twaun Moore	71	73	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.26	0	7	-7	15.4	13.6	1.80	14.4	15.6	-1.23
Darius Miller	47	47	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	3	1	14.0	15.9	-1.98	14.7	14.7	0.04
Omer Asik	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	6	-5	9.5	15.2	-5.71	17.5	14.6	2.89
Rajon Rondo	38	38	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	10	-13	16.0	14.3	1.75	12.9	15.8	-2.90
Dante Cunningham	44	44	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	9	-11	14.7	15.2	-0.57	14.2	15.1	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.37,0.49,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.58,0.38,0.25,0.36,0.37,0.53,0.71,0.61,0.8,0.85,0.91,0.93,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 71, TOR 77	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.71,0.61,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.74,1	92.7%
MIN 102, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.89,0.85,0.97,0.98,1	92.4%
POR 80, MIA 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.59,0.54,0.73,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.74,1	92.2%