NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	98		Excitement	9.8 [84]		MVP	Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (BKN): +16.8%
Brooklyn Nets	103		Comeback	2.0 [456]		LVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (BKN): -45.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tomas Satoransky	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	5	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jason Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	60%	0.13	1	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Mike Scott	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	48%	0.09	2	-0.10	5	80%	-0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	13	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	9	30%	-0.08	1	-0.10	2	100%	0.03
Bradley Beal	-0.34	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.18,-0.3,-0.43,-0.34	-0.11	-0.24	-0.01	33	38%	-0.20	2	-0.14	8	75%	-0.05

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	0.00	9	62%	0.17	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.21,0.21,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	0.00	11	58%	0.20	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Allen Crabbe	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,0.1	0.10	-0.05	0.14	-0.01	15	38%	0.20	1	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	69%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	8	73%	0.13	4	-0.14	6	83%	0.02
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	10	52%	0.11	2	-0.12	3	67%	0.00
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.21,-0.28,-0.36,-0.36,-0.45	-0.45	-0.12	-0.31	0.02	14	34%	-0.32	3	-0.13	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	34.7	0.8	26.4	2.5	38.7	127.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +39.6%

BKN +7.4%

BKN +8.2%

WAS -2.9%

WAS -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BKN	NBA	WAS	BKN	NBA
this game	14.0	14.1	14.7	97.0	99.0	107.5
season	14.8	14.7		108.2	105.8
opponent	14.1	14.7		109.4	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.5	13.3	14.6	13.0	14.0
BKN	14.5	13.4	14.8	13.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	57	58	0.35	-0.85	1.21	-0.14	17	-22	39	13.6	14.5	-0.87	13.7	14.5	-0.78
Mike Scott	29	32	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.02	3	-8	11	14.8	13.7	1.07	13.4	14.4	-0.95
Tomas Satoransky	46	47	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.28	12	-17	29	13.2	14.7	-1.45	14.5	13.7	0.81
Jason Smith	58	60	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.35	7	-12	19	13.9	14.2	-0.35	14.4	13.5	0.90
Kelly Oubre Jr.	64	65	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.34	5	-10	15	13.5	14.9	-1.36	14.4	13.6	0.81
Markieff Morris	39	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	5	-15	15.0	13.4	1.62	13.9	14.2	-0.27
Marcin Gortat	40	41	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	8	-21	14.1	14.0	0.16	13.3	14.5	-1.20
Tim Frazier	32	34	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.07	-19	14	-33	14.7	13.7	1.01	15.1	13.5	1.60
Bradley Beal	76	78	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.32	-10	5	-15	14.2	13.4	0.84	13.9	14.5	-0.58
Otto Porter Jr.	64	65	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.37	-17	12	-29	14.0	14.1	-0.17	13.9	14.4	-0.47

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	62	61	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.26	15	-10	25	13.8	14.4	-0.57	14.2	13.8	0.34
Spencer Dinwiddie	70	67	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.32	11	-6	17	14.2	13.7	0.54	14.0	14.1	-0.18
Allen Crabbe	69	65	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.24	9	-4	13	14.2	13.8	0.40	13.9	14.3	-0.43
Jarrett Allen	44	42	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.42	0	5	-5	13.3	14.6	-1.38	13.8	14.2	-0.34
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	58	57	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	-3	11	14.0	14.1	-0.11	14.5	13.5	1.02
Caris LeVert	61	63	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.40	-5	10	-15	14.5	13.4	1.07	13.6	14.7	-1.09
Tyler Zeller	48	48	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.14	10	-5	15	14.5	13.7	0.76	14.9	13.2	1.73
Timofey Mozgov	12	11	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.06	-5	10	-15	15.3	13.9	1.43	10.8	14.4	-3.60
Quincy Acy	37	34	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.05	-9	14	-23	14.4	13.9	0.44	14.3	13.9	0.44
Joe Harris	59	57	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.02	-9	14	-23	13.4	15.0	-1.64	14.0	14.1	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.73,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.8,0.68,0.7,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.67,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 106, VAN 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.53,0.69,0.59,0.33,0.47,0.37,0.47,0.73,1	89.9%
NYK 83, MIA 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.53,0.5,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.67,0.83,1	89.5%
MIA 94, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.39,0.34,0.57,0.85,1	89.5%