inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 133 Excitement4.2 [992] MVPKlay Thompson (GSW): +18.5%
Orlando Magic 112 Comeback1.0 [1282] LVPShaun Livingston (GSW): -6.3%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Klay Thompson0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.250.040.101490%0.1900.002100%0.00
Kevin Durant0.180,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.190.010.021476%0.211-0.025100%0.02
Patrick McCaw0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.01-0.02580%0.1000.0000%0.00
Omri Casspi0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.01-0.03592%0.102-0.012100%0.01
Jordan Bell0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.130.000.071080%0.0600.0000%0.00
Stephen Curry0.030,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.00-0.01-0.032055%0.104-0.072100%0.01
Zaza Pachulia0.020,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00475%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Draymond Green0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.02-0.00875%0.095-0.0900%0.00
Nick Young0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevon Looney0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
JaVale McGee0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
David West-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.01333%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Shaun Livingston-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.0120%-0.022-0.0400%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.11-0.010.022362%0.143-0.0610%-0.00
Evan Fournier0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.11-0.010.041569%0.082-0.032100%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.01370%0.051-0.01475%0.01
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.00967%0.063-0.0500%0.00
Mario Hezonja0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0000.0000%0.00
Khem Birch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shelvin Mack00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wes Iwundu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.01743%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.01325%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Elfrid Payton0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.011045%-0.012-0.0220%-0.00
Jonathon Simmons0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.021842%0.013-0.06786%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.10.229.414.723.22.431.3126.3
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +51.5%
GSW +2.1%
ORL -3.5%
ORL -2.1%
GSW +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWORLNBAGSWORLNBA
this game13.214.914.7129.1109.8107.5
season13.714.6112.6104.2
opponent14.515.1109.1105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW12.113.013.814.213.2
ORL15.214.115.015.214.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Draymond Green75750.56-0.060.63-0.4334-134712.216.0-3.7415.513.22.23
Klay Thompson77770.430.070.36-0.101831513.013.9-0.9114.914.80.08
Stephen Curry72730.430.070.35-0.131921712.714.6-1.9114.515.7-1.20
Kevin Durant65660.380.120.250.20615-913.812.41.3913.916.6-2.66
Zaza Pachulia34350.230.27-0.04-0.091110112.913.4-0.4914.515.1-0.57
Patrick McCaw46430.230.27-0.05-0.01813-514.012.61.4114.415.2-0.73
Shaun Livingston34340.110.39-0.270.03318-1513.813.00.8715.214.70.47
David West23230.080.42-0.35-0.01318-1514.213.01.2016.514.42.14
Omri Casspi42400.070.43-0.35-0.01318-1512.913.5-0.5315.914.21.79
Nick Young440.000.50-0.50-0.03120-1920.213.07.2915.014.90.14
Kevon Looney440.000.50-0.50-0.03120-1920.213.07.2915.014.90.14
JaVale McGee440.000.50-0.50-0.03120-1920.213.07.2915.014.90.14
Jordan Bell3532-0.010.51-0.530.07-324-2712.313.7-1.4914.215.2-0.98

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Khem Birch670.00-0.500.500.03-1-201912.715.0-2.3316.413.03.42
Shelvin Mack670.00-0.500.500.03-1-201912.715.0-2.3316.413.03.42
Wes Iwundu670.00-0.500.500.03-1-201912.715.0-2.3316.413.03.42
Bismack Biyombo3234-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-171317.113.83.2513.413.10.30
Mario Hezonja2830-0.20-0.300.110.04-8-13514.614.9-0.3013.813.00.83
Arron Afflalo3638-0.20-0.300.100.06-9-12315.614.51.1113.213.3-0.13
D.J. Augustin3636-0.24-0.260.020.11-12-9-316.713.92.7912.513.6-1.14
Nikola Vucevic5957-0.27-0.23-0.050.05-11-10-114.215.8-1.6812.813.8-0.98
Elfrid Payton6565-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.00-10-11114.215.9-1.7013.213.4-0.24
Evan Fournier7171-0.33-0.17-0.150.03-12-9-315.114.40.7313.313.20.03
Jonathon Simmons8685-0.44-0.06-0.370.09-18-3-1514.417.4-2.9813.113.8-0.65
Aaron Gordon7978-0.44-0.06-0.380.09-18-3-1514.715.3-0.5713.014.1-1.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 117, PHI 1040.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%
DET 109, LAC 1010.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,096.0%
HOU 105, LAC 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%