NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	85		Excitement	6.6 [543]		MVP	Taurean Prince (ATL): +11.0%
San Antonio Spurs	96		Comeback	1.3 [1157]		LVP	Kent Bazemore (ATL): -12.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taurean Prince	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	13	62%	0.15	2	-0.04	3	0%	-0.06
Ersan Ilyasova	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	-0.01	0.04	12	81%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Tyler Cavanaugh	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	13	39%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	65%	0.07	4	-0.11	1	0%	-0.02
Dennis Schroder	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	14	50%	0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	13	19%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.05	0.03	-0.02	8	72%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	11	73%	0.18	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	50%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.04	0.01	24	46%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	7	64%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	16	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.0	26.3	13.8	25.8	1.7	25.5	117.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +20.8%

SAS +7.7%

SAS +25.2%

ATL -5.8%

SAS +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SAS	NBA	ATL	SAS	NBA
this game	15.4	15.1	14.7	89.5	102.1	107.5
season	14.6	15.5		104.2	106.7
opponent	14.5	14.4		104.1	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.3	17.6	13.0	16.0	15.4
SAS	14.7	13.7	15.3	16.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dewayne Dedmon	52	54	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.09	9	-20	29	15.3	15.5	-0.12	15.3	14.7	0.61
DeAndre' Bembry	10	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-7	3	15.9	15.3	0.56	13.3	15.3	-1.93
Tyler Cavanaugh	6	5	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-7	3	12.7	15.6	-2.92	12.2	15.2	-3.04
Ersan Ilyasova	16	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-7	3	13.4	15.8	-2.44	14.4	15.2	-0.80
Luke Babbitt	17	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	-2	-7	15.4	15.4	0.01	12.5	15.6	-3.02
Dennis Schroder	59	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-9	7	15.4	15.4	-0.03	16.3	12.9	3.39
John Collins	70	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-10	9	15.7	14.5	1.19	15.2	14.7	0.55
Kent Bazemore	52	51	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-2	-7	15.6	15.1	0.52	14.5	15.8	-1.28
Taurean Prince	76	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-4	-3	15.5	15.2	0.30	15.1	14.9	0.16
Marco Belinelli	58	57	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	-2	-7	15.8	14.8	1.05	15.2	14.9	0.30
Malcolm Delaney	59	58	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.15	-15	4	-19	15.1	15.8	-0.70	15.1	15.0	0.08

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryn Forbes	39	42	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-7	25	13.5	16.2	-2.71	16.0	15.0	0.99
Manu Ginobili	51	52	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.08	11	0	11	14.7	15.5	-0.72	15.1	15.8	-0.76
Danny Green	58	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	2	7	15.7	14.1	1.65	15.7	14.9	0.88
Patty Mills	62	61	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	9	-7	15.9	13.6	2.29	16.0	14.3	1.77
LaMarcus Aldridge	74	74	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	7	-3	15.8	12.3	3.46	15.7	14.5	1.19
Dejounte Murray	32	34	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	2	7	13.6	15.9	-2.29	14.3	16.0	-1.77
Davis Bertans	11	10	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	8	-5	13.5	15.3	-1.83	13.5	15.6	-2.12
Kyle Anderson	57	58	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	12	-13	15.6	14.2	1.46	15.7	14.9	0.83
Rudy Gay	27	27	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	10	-9	14.5	15.3	-0.83	14.6	15.7	-1.08
Joffrey Lauvergne	15	16	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	7	-3	12.1	15.6	-3.50	15.5	15.4	0.12
Brandon Paul	6	6	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.09	-1	12	-13	16.8	15.0	1.88	17.2	15.3	1.89
Pau Gasol	38	37	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	15	-19	15.7	14.7	0.98	14.4	16.0	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.56,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.76,0.85,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 64, CHI 78	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.83,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
VAN 94, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	93.5%
MIA 76, DEN 86	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.2%