NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	118		Excitement	4.1 [1015]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +6.3%
Brooklyn Nets	111		Comeback	1.2 [1249]		LVP	Allen Crabbe (BKN): -9.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.02	17	64%	0.08	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Nick Young	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	-0.01	0.06	24	70%	0.15	7	-0.11	8	87%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	3	75%	0.07	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	40%	0.02	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.02
David West	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Bell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	43%	-0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.06	10	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	11	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Draymond Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	8	28%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	8	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	11	52%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	5	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.05	0.03	10	56%	-0.01	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.04
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.04	0.07	13	54%	-0.03	2	-0.04	13	85%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.04	14	47%	-0.04	4	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.08	-0.03	0.14	19	62%	-0.05	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	28.4	14.6	28.2	2.3	34.7	133.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +61.5%

BKN -5.1%

BKN -7.8%

GSW +1.1%

GSW +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	BKN	NBA	GSW	BKN	NBA
this game	12.4	14.0	14.7	108.3	101.8	107.5
season	13.7	14.7		112.6	105.8
opponent	14.1	15.1		109.4	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	10.8	12.0	13.9	13.3	12.4
BKN	12.7	13.7	13.2	16.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	77	73	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	-4	15	12.7	11.8	0.90	14.5	12.9	1.62
Andre Iguodala	70	70	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.42	-4	11	-15	12.6	12.2	0.34	14.2	13.6	0.64
Kevon Looney	31	30	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	1	5	10.1	13.4	-3.33	12.4	14.6	-2.17
Shaun Livingston	34	33	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	5	-3	12.4	12.5	-0.10	16.5	12.9	3.65
Draymond Green	76	78	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.36	-4	11	-15	13.0	11.1	1.91	14.5	12.7	1.76
Stephen Curry	75	79	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	3	1	12.6	12.2	0.40	13.1	16.3	-3.21
Nick Young	36	37	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.10	3	4	-1	12.4	12.5	-0.13	13.9	14.0	-0.08
Omri Casspi	54	53	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	3	1	12.4	12.5	-0.05	12.9	14.9	-2.00
Zaza Pachulia	32	32	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.10	8	-1	9	12.8	12.3	0.56	13.0	14.4	-1.42
JaVale McGee	17	18	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	8	-9	12.9	12.4	0.51	14.4	13.9	0.50
David West	20	20	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	6	-5	13.5	12.2	1.35	16.3	13.4	2.91
Jordan Bell	8	7	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.07	5	2	3	11.1	12.6	-1.43	11.3	14.2	-2.87
Patrick McCaw	15	15	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	7	-7	10.3	12.8	-2.53	13.4	14.1	-0.66

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Booker	26	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.03	-2	-5	3	10.7	15.0	-4.26	11.8	12.6	-0.84
Jarrett Allen	27	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-9	11	14.8	13.7	1.12	13.1	12.2	0.87
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	69	70	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.40	10	-17	27	13.4	14.9	-1.43	13.6	10.3	3.34
Sean Kilpatrick	17	17	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.11	-11	4	-15	14.7	13.8	0.87	12.2	12.5	-0.32
Spencer Dinwiddie	69	72	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.40	6	-13	19	14.3	13.4	0.86	12.3	12.7	-0.34
Allen Crabbe	76	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-9	11	13.6	14.9	-1.30	13.1	10.9	2.18
Caris LeVert	52	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	3	-13	13.8	14.2	-0.39	11.5	13.2	-1.72
DeMarre Carroll	76	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-3	-1	14.0	14.0	0.00	12.7	11.8	0.86
Joe Harris	48	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	2	-11	14.7	13.4	1.35	10.9	13.6	-2.70
Quincy Acy	53	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-5	3	14.4	13.6	0.79	11.6	13.2	-1.61
Tyler Zeller	32	33	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.11	-17	10	-27	15.4	13.4	2.03	13.1	12.2	0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 106, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.02,0,0,0	96.2%
PHI 119, MIL 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
MIA 103, CHI 74	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%