NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	100		Excitement	7.2 [433]		MVP	Lance Stephenson (IND): +27.3%
Indiana Pacers	107		Comeback	51.6 [22]		LVP	Reggie Jackson (DET): -21.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ish Smith	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.08	0.14	-0.01	10	62%	0.25	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Tobias Harris	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.00	0.14	-0.02	16	44%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Kennard	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	8	81%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.03	13	57%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Moreland	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	9	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	10	50%	0.04	5	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Jackson	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21	0.01	-0.21	0.01	14	57%	0.01	3	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.04	0.23	0.00	7	81%	0.34	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.03	0.02	10	73%	0.21	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	14	56%	0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	12	62%	0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
TJ Leaf	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	46%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	13	27%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.19	-0.05	-0.12	0.02	19	47%	-0.10	4	-0.09	7	57%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.6	27.5	14.4	21.4	2.5	34.2	128.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET -1.7%

IND +3.1%

IND +34.1%

IND +16.0%

DET -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	IND	NBA	DET	IND	NBA
this game	16.2	14.3	14.7	106.4	112.6	107.5
season	14.9	14.8		106.4	108.3
opponent	15.0	14.7		106.7	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.6	14.2	17.3	18.0	16.2
IND	14.4	13.0	14.0	16.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Langston Galloway	26	27	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.10	8	-15	23	15.3	16.5	-1.21	15.0	14.0	0.92
Eric Moreland	23	23	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-12	17	15.9	16.3	-0.35	16.7	13.6	3.10
Luke Kennard	49	50	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-7	7	16.0	16.4	-0.46	14.4	14.2	0.20
Anthony Tolliver	37	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-5	3	15.9	16.4	-0.48	14.5	14.2	0.31
Ish Smith	39	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	1	-9	16.9	15.7	1.18	14.7	14.1	0.67
Reggie Jackson	56	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-6	5	15.5	17.2	-1.64	14.1	14.7	-0.67
Tobias Harris	56	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-4	1	16.6	15.6	0.92	14.2	14.5	-0.31
Stanley Johnson	49	47	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.19	-9	2	-11	16.3	16.0	0.26	13.9	14.7	-0.81
Andre Drummond	71	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.22	-12	5	-17	16.3	15.9	0.35	13.6	16.7	-3.10
Avery Bradley	64	66	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.29	-13	6	-19	16.6	15.3	1.34	14.3	14.4	-0.16

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	35	33	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.41	16	-9	25	15.1	13.9	1.19	17.1	15.7	1.40
Domantas Sabonis	46	46	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.29	17	-10	27	14.4	14.2	0.17	16.8	15.6	1.18
Victor Oladipo	78	77	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.18	12	-5	17	14.2	14.6	-0.42	16.3	15.8	0.51
Thaddeus Young	78	77	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	8	-9	14.1	15.5	-1.42	16.5	14.8	1.66
Darren Collison	62	62	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.52	-7	14	-21	14.7	13.6	1.12	15.3	17.9	-2.66
Cory Joseph	51	50	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.17	11	-4	15	14.0	14.6	-0.57	17.0	15.3	1.66
TJ Leaf	7	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	11	-15	15.7	14.2	1.52	12.7	16.4	-3.75
Bojan Bogdanovic	69	71	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.19	1	6	-5	14.0	15.1	-1.12	15.9	17.1	-1.26
Myles Turner	49	48	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.01	-10	17	-27	14.2	14.4	-0.17	15.6	16.8	-1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.4,0.4,0.29,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.16,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.37,0.28,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.61,0.45,0.54,0.85,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 106, LAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.25,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.35,0.31,0.61,0.63,0.9,0.98,1	91.7%
NYK 79, LAC 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.85,0.91,1	91.7%
PHI 98, WAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.22,0.33,0.17,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.94,0.99,1	91.6%