NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	94		Excitement	7.0 [458]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +22.1%
San Antonio Spurs	87		Comeback	1.9 [331]		LVP	Danny Green (SAS): -27.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Henson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.01	8	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	8	56%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Wilson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.00	24	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.08
Tony Snell	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	15	42%	0.06	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01
Khris Middleton	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	14	42%	-0.00	5	-0.12	3	33%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.14	0.02	10	78%	0.29	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.01	14	62%	0.10	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	8	62%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	6	50%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Brandon Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.11	0.02	15	47%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	12	25%	-0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	7	36%	-0.08	6	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	3.2	26.1	14.5	28.7	3.3	32.3	133.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +23.5%

SAS -10.0%

MIL +22.3%

MIL +14.5%

SAS -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	SAS	NBA	MIL	SAS	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	14.7	95.9	92.6	107.5
season	14.3	15.5		108.5	106.7
opponent	14.5	15.4		104.1	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.7	17.1	12.1	15.6	14.5
SAS	17.0	13.5	14.7	17.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	71	68	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-6	19	14.3	15.0	-0.72	16.2	13.7	2.50
Eric Bledsoe	56	54	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.26	10	-3	13	14.7	14.2	0.51	16.0	14.9	1.12
John Henson	63	61	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-3	13	15.4	12.9	2.52	15.4	15.8	-0.47
Malcolm Brogdon	69	64	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	9	-11	14.7	14.0	0.68	15.7	15.2	0.55
Tony Snell	67	64	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	5	-3	15.1	13.2	1.83	14.6	17.5	-2.92
Matthew Dellavedova	42	41	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	2	3	12.8	15.7	-2.92	16.2	15.1	1.11
Khris Middleton	79	76	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.29	-6	13	-19	15.1	11.7	3.40	15.2	17.2	-2.01
DeAndre Liggins	6	7	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	1	5	12.8	14.6	-1.75	14.7	15.6	-0.89
Rashad Vaughn	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	7	-7	3.0	14.6	-11.60	8.0	15.6	-7.62
D.J. Wilson	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	7	-7	3.0	14.6	-11.60	8.0	15.6	-7.62
Thon Maker	35	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	10	-13	12.9	15.4	-2.52	15.8	15.4	0.47

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Davis Bertans	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-7	7	8.0	15.6	-7.62	3.0	14.6	-11.60
Bryn Forbes	27	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-8	9	15.1	15.7	-0.66	14.4	14.5	-0.16
Kyle Anderson	67	68	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.33	6	-13	19	14.9	17.3	-2.41	14.8	13.7	1.17
Dejounte Murray	17	20	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	0	-7	17.6	15.1	2.50	12.5	15.0	-2.42
Brandon Paul	19	21	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	0	-7	16.9	15.2	1.69	12.7	15.0	-2.31
Pau Gasol	39	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-3	-1	15.7	15.4	0.26	14.9	14.2	0.69
LaMarcus Aldridge	72	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-7	7	15.3	16.2	-0.83	14.6	14.0	0.63
Patty Mills	73	74	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.25	0	-7	7	14.9	17.6	-2.67	15.1	12.4	2.73
Danny Green	57	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.33	2	-9	11	15.1	16.2	-1.11	15.8	12.6	3.22
Manu Ginobili	47	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.17	-8	1	-9	15.1	16.0	-0.83	14.1	15.0	-0.92
Rudy Gay	51	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.01	-18	11	-29	17.5	13.2	4.39	13.3	15.9	-2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.32,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 110, ORL 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.23,0.05,0	93.4%
PHX 99, NOH 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.23,0.19,0.28,0.15,0.08,0	92.5%
NJN 96, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.32,0.34,0.21,0.26,0.17,0.27,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.19,0.37,0.09,0.05,0	92.3%