NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	104		Excitement	6.9 [486]		MVP	Wesley Johnson (LAC): +19.7%
LA Clippers	101		Comeback	6.0 [173]		LVP	Austin Rivers (LAC): -19.4%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Richardson	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.02	0.14	-0.00	10	58%	0.20	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.00	0.05	11	77%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	16	60%	0.18	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
James Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0	-0.08	0.04	-0.05	11	54%	0.31	6	-0.31	4	100%	0.14
Justise Winslow	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Okaro White	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	5	20%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.08	-0.01	15	59%	0.08	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.11,-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	-0.03	9	50%	0.11	2	-0.16	6	67%	0.03

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.2	0.20	-0.03	0.20	-0.03	6	50%	0.23	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willie Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.08	-0.02	8	53%	0.11	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	5	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Patrick Beverley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	11	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	0.07	18	55%	0.00	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Sindarius Thornwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	4	20%	-0.04	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.14	-0.14	0.03	-0.17	0.00	18	53%	-0.10	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.09
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.16	0.01	12	43%	-0.18	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.20

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.0	28.4	14.0	28.2	1.8	39.3	141.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +59.4%

MIA +27.3%

MIA +7.3%

LAC -45.9%

MIA +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	LAC	NBA	MIA	LAC	NBA
this game	14.8	14.4	14.7	106.1	102.0	107.5
season	15.1	14.2		105.4	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.6		109.0	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.5	12.6	14.1	17.0	14.8
LAC	15.8	16.2	16.5	9.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Richardson	73	74	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.06	15	-12	27	13.5	18.6	-5.12	15.2	12.0	3.28
Tyler Johnson	72	70	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.44	1	2	-1	14.4	16.0	-1.54	14.0	15.4	-1.37
Hassan Whiteside	63	65	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	-5	13	14.6	15.3	-0.76	14.6	14.0	0.68
James Johnson	59	60	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.44	-1	4	-5	14.3	15.6	-1.23	14.2	14.7	-0.42
Justise Winslow	33	35	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	1	1	15.7	14.4	1.36	14.9	14.2	0.69
Okaro White	37	35	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	-4	11	15.0	14.7	0.32	15.4	13.9	1.48
Kelly Olynyk	32	32	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	3	-3	16.1	14.2	1.93	14.1	14.6	-0.47
Wayne Ellington	54	56	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	6	-9	15.1	14.5	0.51	13.8	15.2	-1.32
Goran Dragic	64	66	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.26	-9	12	-21	16.5	11.8	4.69	13.8	15.6	-1.83
Bam Adebayo	3	2	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	8	-13	6.7	15.1	-8.42	12.0	14.5	-2.46

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Dekker	11	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-6	9	11.0	14.8	-3.84	16.6	14.6	2.06
Sindarius Thornwell	26	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	1	-5	12.0	15.3	-3.27	13.7	15.2	-1.50
Danilo Gallinari	26	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	2	-7	17.2	13.4	3.82	15.2	14.7	0.56
Austin Rivers	63	63	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	6	-15	15.7	12.1	3.66	14.3	15.7	-1.34
Willie Reed	30	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	0	-3	13.2	15.0	-1.79	15.1	14.7	0.35
Patrick Beverley	63	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-5	7	14.8	13.8	0.96	14.7	15.0	-0.28
DeAndre Jordan	68	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.29	-3	0	-3	14.8	13.5	1.35	14.7	15.2	-0.54
Blake Griffin	76	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-2	1	14.5	14.2	0.31	14.6	15.5	-0.93
Wesley Johnson	70	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-4	5	13.5	16.6	-3.02	14.9	14.6	0.29
Lou Williams	62	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.56	4	-7	11	14.2	14.8	-0.59	15.6	13.6	1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.24,0.55,0.33,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 82, SEA 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.15,0.1,0.19,0.36,0.14,0.02,0	94.1%
SAS 94, LAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.31,0.46,0.14,0.15,0	92.8%
PHX 103, SAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.19,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.18,0.19,0.34,0.11,0.02,0	92.6%