NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	101		Excitement	7.0 [461]		MVP	Julius Randle (LAL): +20.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	92		Comeback	6.5 [429]		LVP	Brook Lopez (LAL): -18.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.03	10	82%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Miles	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.00	0.09	-0.02	9	45%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.05	0.10	-0.05	21	47%	0.21	4	-0.11	9	67%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	10	82%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	64%	0.07	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	37%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Delon Wright	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	14	39%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	8	18%	-0.09	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.09	0.01	8	75%	0.23	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.02
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	4	90%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.04	0.01	3	87%	0.04	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	14	54%	0.12	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	11	46%	0.02	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	9	41%	-0.03	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Tyler Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	7	36%	-0.06	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	14	43%	-0.08	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.8	31.0	14.4	26.2	1.5	35.4	133.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +22.6%

LAL -4.3%

TOR +10.2%

TOR +22.2%

LAL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAL	NBA	TOR	LAL	NBA
this game	15.0	13.0	14.7	99.0	88.5	107.5
season	14.6	13.7		112.7	105.7
opponent	14.8	14.8		107.2	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.6	16.4	14.0	14.0	15.0
LAL	12.7	11.8	13.7	13.7	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	72	70	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.27	21	-12	33	15.2	14.6	0.58	13.7	11.4	2.36
DeMar DeRozan	78	78	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.26	14	-5	19	15.1	14.6	0.50	13.4	11.8	1.55
Kyle Lowry	76	77	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.26	14	-5	19	15.2	14.5	0.68	13.5	11.4	2.06
Pascal Siakam	51	51	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.27	13	-4	17	15.2	14.9	0.29	14.4	11.6	2.83
Norman Powell	44	44	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.12	17	-8	25	14.4	15.5	-1.10	13.6	12.5	1.03
CJ Miles	54	57	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.33	-4	13	-17	15.0	15.0	-0.06	12.1	14.0	-1.84
Delon Wright	26	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.02	-5	14	-19	14.5	15.2	-0.68	11.4	13.5	-2.06
OG Anunoby	41	44	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.13	-3	12	-15	14.3	15.5	-1.20	11.2	14.2	-2.98
Fred VanVleet	28	29	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.01	-9	18	-27	15.7	14.7	0.97	12.7	13.1	-0.44
Jakob Poeltl	40	43	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.06	-13	22	-35	15.2	14.9	0.40	11.8	13.8	-2.05

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julius Randle	51	49	0.32	-0.82	1.15	-0.09	14	-23	37	12.1	13.8	-1.79	15.9	14.2	1.75
Tyler Ennis	12	11	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.08	6	-15	21	11.2	13.2	-1.95	13.7	15.2	-1.44
Josh Hart	45	43	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.06	8	-17	25	11.4	14.2	-2.73	15.3	14.8	0.47
Kyle Kuzma	71	68	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-12	15	12.3	14.5	-2.26	14.9	15.3	-0.47
Jordan Clarkson	30	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-13	17	10.8	13.8	-3.00	16.1	14.5	1.56
Corey Brewer	49	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.22	2	-11	13	12.3	13.6	-1.26	15.3	14.8	0.53
Brandon Ingram	49	49	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	6	-21	13.8	12.3	1.48	14.6	15.4	-0.77
Larry Nance Jr.	35	35	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.17	-14	5	-19	14.3	12.3	2.07	15.0	15.0	-0.01
Lonzo Ball	68	65	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.21	-15	6	-21	14.1	10.8	3.35	14.8	15.4	-0.58
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	59	59	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.17	-17	8	-25	14.2	11.4	2.73	14.8	15.3	-0.47
Brook Lopez	51	52	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.17	-21	12	-33	13.9	12.0	1.90	14.4	15.7	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.63,0.59,0.41,0.27,0.1,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 98, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.1,0.11,0.01,0,0	92.0%
MIL 103, DAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.39,0.15,0.03,0.06,0.04,0	91.2%
CHH 91, ATL 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.22,0.1,0.04,0,0,0	91.1%