NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	94		Excitement	6.9 [477]		MVP	Spencer Hawes (MIL): +20.4%
Boston Celtics	112		Comeback	3.9 [923]		LVP	Michael Beasley (MIL): -10.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.08	-0.02	7	88%	0.31	2	-0.11	3	100%	0.03
John Henson	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	10	55%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	7	53%	0.05	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Gary Payton II	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.02	-0.04	4	30%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Mirza Teletovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rashad Vaughn	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	15	45%	0.03	5	-0.11	1	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	8	47%	-0.00	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Michael Beasley	-0.11	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	17	43%	-0.11	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.06	0.02	7	94%	0.20	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	12	62%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	-0.00	9	44%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	9	44%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	8	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	62%	0.09	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Terry Rozier	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	15	53%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	10	48%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	28.0	15.4	25.6	2.4	25.3	123.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +27.4%

MIL -7.1%

BOS +10.9%

BOS +19.5%

MIL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BOS	NBA	MIL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.3	14.3	14.8	95.9	115.5	107.7
season	14.9	14.7		107.4	110.1
opponent	14.9	15.3		108.3	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.3	17.2	15.2	13.6	15.3
BOS	13.5	14.8	15.4	13.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Monroe	31	31	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-22	26	15.1	15.3	-0.23	17.1	13.0	4.09
Malcolm Brogdon	46	46	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-19	20	16.8	13.8	3.00	13.5	14.9	-1.40
Jason Terry	11	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	-13	8	17.2	15.0	2.17	18.0	13.8	4.25
Thon Maker	54	53	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-14	10	16.1	14.2	1.82	13.6	15.1	-1.57
John Henson	31	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-11	4	17.2	14.3	2.88	11.2	15.7	-4.46
Spencer Hawes	36	36	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	-3	-12	13.7	16.2	-2.47	14.4	14.2	0.26
Michael Beasley	74	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-6	-6	15.2	15.3	-0.10	13.2	17.5	-4.28
Mirza Teletovic	57	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	-3	-12	14.1	16.8	-2.66	15.5	12.6	2.97
Gary Payton II	65	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	0	-18	14.2	17.4	-3.27	15.4	12.0	3.45
Rashad Vaughn	85	83	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.00	-19	1	-20	15.2	15.4	-0.15	13.8	17.1	-3.35

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	62	62	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	8	2	13.9	15.0	-1.13	15.7	14.4	1.28
Marcus Smart	56	58	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.07	21	-3	24	14.5	14.0	0.52	14.6	16.3	-1.72
Gerald Green	44	44	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.09	16	2	14	14.9	13.8	1.11	14.2	16.1	-1.82
Avery Bradley	62	63	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	4	10	14.1	14.7	-0.59	15.3	15.1	0.22
Al Horford	43	44	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	8	2	13.0	15.3	-2.34	16.7	14.1	2.67
Amir Johnson	39	41	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	10	-2	12.6	15.4	-2.78	16.7	14.2	2.50
Kelly Olynyk	46	47	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	12	-6	15.2	13.5	1.66	13.9	16.5	-2.70
Isaiah Thomas	45	45	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	15	-12	13.2	15.2	-2.05	16.8	13.9	2.90
Jaylen Brown	43	43	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.15	8	10	-2	15.5	13.3	2.26	14.5	15.9	-1.41
Terry Rozier	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	13.6	14.3	-0.76	14.4	15.3	-0.89
James Young	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	13.6	14.3	-0.76	14.4	15.3	-0.89
Jonas Jerebko	9	8	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	24	-30	18.9	13.8	5.08	12.7	15.5	-2.73
Tyler Zeller	22	21	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.02	-4	22	-26	16.3	13.7	2.58	14.7	15.4	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 85, WAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.99,1	92.9%
MIL 97, POR 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.64,0.76,0.86,0.95,1,1,1,1	92.5%
SAC 85, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.2%