NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	123		Excitement	7.8 [293]		MVP	Lou Williams (HOU): +21.2%
Phoenix Suns	116		Comeback	1.2 [1092]		LVP	Devin Booker (PHX): -18.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.04	0.17	0.00	14	64%	0.31	4	-0.09	8	87%	0.02
Troy Williams	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.16	0.01	-0.01	12	81%	0.19	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Beverley	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.00	0.01	19	68%	0.18	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.03	0.02	11	61%	0.10	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
Isaiah Taylor	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	37%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	24	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Montrezl Harrell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Dekker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Wiltjer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	11	36%	-0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Ulis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.18	0.04	0.02	22	76%	0.30	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Derrick Jones, Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	6	56%	0.07	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.05
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	45%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	-0.00	14	47%	0.01	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	10	37%	0.02	3	-0.12	4	25%	-0.06
Alan Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.14,-0.15,-0.13,-0.12,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	22	48%	0.06	8	-0.24	12	100%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	24.0	14.4	29.5	2.3	35.7	132.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +46.1%

PHX -13.8%

PHX -21.9%

HOU +34.6%

HOU +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	13.3	12.6	14.8	110.8	103.6	107.7
season	13.7	13.9		113.2	105.4
opponent	14.5	14.9		110.3	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.2	13.0	13.7	14.1	13.3
PHX	13.5	14.1	10.8	12.0	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	80	81	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.13	14	-7	21	13.4	12.9	0.57	12.7	12.2	0.54
Nene	54	54	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.19	12	-5	17	13.4	13.2	0.21	12.2	12.9	-0.68
Lou Williams	68	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.31	7	0	7	13.4	13.0	0.38	12.5	12.7	-0.16
Troy Williams	87	88	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	-4	15	13.5	12.5	1.05	13.0	11.1	1.87
Eric Gordon	86	87	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.20	6	1	5	13.0	14.4	-1.39	12.5	12.8	-0.27
Montrezl Harrell	28	29	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	2	3	13.4	13.3	0.10	12.4	12.6	-0.19
Isaiah Taylor	38	37	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.25	-5	12	-17	13.3	13.3	-0.02	11.8	12.9	-1.15
Sam Dekker	46	46	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	10	-13	13.0	13.5	-0.55	12.6	12.5	0.09
Clint Capela	57	58	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	12	-17	13.2	13.4	-0.21	12.9	12.2	0.68
Kyle Wiltjer	11	11	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	14	-21	13.1	13.3	-0.21	11.8	12.6	-0.82

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Williams	15	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-7	7	14.9	12.2	2.67	13.3	13.3	0.06
Dragan Bender	35	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-7	7	12.2	12.7	-0.47	13.0	13.4	-0.40
Jared Dudley	77	76	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.44	7	-14	21	12.7	12.2	0.47	13.6	12.5	1.12
Devin Booker	92	92	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.18	-3	-4	1	12.2	14.3	-2.19	13.3	13.1	0.21
Alex Len	68	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	2	-11	11.7	13.9	-2.27	13.1	13.6	-0.57
Ronnie Price	26	25	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	1	-9	14.0	12.1	1.83	13.2	13.3	-0.05
Derrick Jones, Jr.	77	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	0	-7	12.7	12.2	0.47	13.4	13.0	0.40
Marquese Chriss	64	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	5	-17	12.8	12.2	0.53	13.1	13.5	-0.46
Tyler Ulis	106	105	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-4	1	12.5	12.7	-0.12	13.3	13.7	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.31,0.23,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.19,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 107, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.24,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0	94.8%
SAS 83, UTA 69	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.32,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.7%
OKC 120, GSW 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.6%