NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	120		Excitement	2.6 [1228]		MVP	Gerald Green (BOS): +12.2%
Boston Celtics	130		Comeback	1.0 [969]		LVP	Marquese Chriss (PHX): -11.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.38	0.00	0.29	40	66%	0.12	5	-0.03	26	92%	0.01
Derrick Jones, Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	70%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	12	46%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	5	65%	-0.00	1	-0.01	7	43%	-0.03
Alan Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Tyler Ulis	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	4	30%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marquese Chriss	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.16	-0.00	-0.05	10	14%	-0.10	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.00	0.04	5	115%	0.14	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.17	0.00	0.10	20	67%	0.09	2	-0.02	11	100%	0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	68%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Jaylen Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	53%	0.04	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	10	68%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.02	8	68%	0.04	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	64%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	13	28%	-0.02	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	33.4	15.4	32.4	2.4	40.6	151.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +42.4%

BOS +2.1%

BOS +7.6%

PHX -5.2%

BOS +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	BOS	NBA	PHX	BOS	NBA
this game	12.4	13.8	14.8	109.1	118.2	107.7
season	13.9	14.7		105.4	110.1
opponent	14.9	14.5		108.3	110.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.9	13.1	12.7	10.2	12.4
BOS	13.3	16.2	13.0	13.1	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	64	65	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.51	14	-24	38	11.4	13.7	-2.38	14.8	12.5	2.30
Alan Williams	59	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-11	12	11.1	13.8	-2.78	13.7	13.9	-0.18
Leandro Barbosa	72	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-11	12	11.3	14.3	-3.04	14.4	12.9	1.46
Derrick Jones, Jr.	71	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-1	-8	13.1	11.0	2.06	13.6	14.2	-0.59
Alex Len	57	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.07	-15	5	-20	13.5	11.1	2.40	13.8	13.8	0.03
Devin Booker	104	103	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-4	-2	12.2	14.3	-2.09	13.6	16.9	-3.24
Tyler Ulis	77	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	2	-14	12.7	11.6	1.03	13.5	14.5	-0.99
Marquese Chriss	46	47	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.25	-24	14	-38	14.2	11.0	3.20	13.1	14.4	-1.33

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Brown	61	62	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.09	12	-2	14	12.3	15.7	-3.40	11.9	12.9	-0.96
Amir Johnson	61	60	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.32	26	-16	42	13.2	14.6	-1.42	13.7	10.7	3.07
Isaiah Thomas	75	74	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.28	24	-14	38	13.4	14.8	-1.43	12.6	11.7	0.90
Al Horford	66	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.17	6	4	2	14.4	12.9	1.53	13.0	11.4	1.54
Jae Crowder	62	61	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	4	2	13.4	14.4	-0.93	13.0	11.5	1.49
Gerald Green	27	27	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.04	8	2	6	15.7	13.2	2.54	12.1	12.4	-0.32
Kelly Olynyk	37	38	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	10	-10	15.9	12.8	3.19	11.9	12.6	-0.66
Terry Rozier	37	38	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	12	-14	13.6	14.0	-0.39	11.4	12.8	-1.39
Marcus Smart	68	68	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.59	-18	28	-46	15.4	11.2	4.23	12.4	12.2	0.19
Tyler Zeller	29	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.28	-8	18	-26	12.8	14.2	-1.36	10.8	12.9	-2.18
Jonas Jerebko	27	27	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	14	-18	11.9	14.4	-2.52	10.1	13.1	-2.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.94,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 90, HOU 118	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
DET 85, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
GSW 88, BOS 120	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%