NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	125		Excitement	7.0 [462]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +63.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	120		Comeback	10.8 [347]		LVP	JR Smith (CLE): -11.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.63	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.63	0.37	0.28	0.01	21	88%	0.70	3	-0.07	10	100%	0.08
LeBron James	0.28	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.15	0.14	0.01	22	65%	0.36	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.03
Kevin Love	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.08	0.02	15	57%	0.18	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.03
Richard Jefferson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	4	70%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.12	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.34	0.34	0.31	0.02	-0.01	22	78%	0.43	1	-0.09	7	71%	-0.04
Brandon Ingram	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.14	-0.01	15	56%	0.22	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Nwaba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.02	0.04	8	53%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tyler Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.05	0.04	18	51%	0.02	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.0	27.2	15.4	22.4	2.4	40.4	132.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +12.5%

CLE +20.7%

CLE +12.2%

CLE +3.5%

CLE +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAL	NBA	CLE	LAL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.7	14.8	130.2	126.3	107.7
season	14.9	14.5		113.5	104.8
opponent	14.4	14.7		111.6	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.0	15.8	17.7	14.0	15.5
LAL	14.4	14.2	15.8	14.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	74	73	0.69	-0.18	0.87	0.33	12	-7	19	15.9	14.3	1.53	15.3	12.4	2.92
Iman Shumpert	58	56	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.39	9	-4	13	14.7	16.7	-2.05	14.4	15.1	-0.68
Kyrie Irving	76	75	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.33	9	-4	13	14.6	18.8	-4.23	14.7	14.4	0.32
JR Smith	54	53	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.44	4	1	3	15.1	16.0	-0.80	14.6	14.8	-0.20
Richard Jefferson	60	60	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.49	2	3	-1	15.1	16.1	-0.98	14.0	15.8	-1.77
Kevin Love	49	50	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	2	1	16.4	14.6	1.81	14.9	14.4	0.44
Tristan Thompson	51	51	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	3	-1	15.4	15.6	-0.15	14.9	14.4	0.54
Channing Frye	25	24	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.06	-6	11	-17	17.0	15.0	1.97	14.6	14.7	-0.04
Deron Williams	33	33	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.01	-10	15	-25	17.1	14.7	2.42	14.1	14.9	-0.81

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Ennis	10	9	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.04	9	-14	23	13.8	14.8	-0.95	19.8	15.1	4.72
Ivica Zubac	39	37	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-7	9	14.6	14.7	-0.02	15.8	15.3	0.55
Corey Brewer	37	40	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-7	9	14.4	14.8	-0.49	15.2	15.7	-0.43
Larry Nance Jr.	26	28	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.01	1	-6	7	15.2	14.4	0.80	16.0	15.3	0.76
Julius Randle	76	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	14.6	14.9	-0.30	15.1	17.1	-2.00
Brandon Ingram	80	79	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.30	-7	2	-9	14.5	15.2	-0.65	15.2	16.9	-1.75
Jordan Clarkson	81	82	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.41	-7	2	-9	14.8	14.0	0.77	15.5	15.6	-0.08
David Nwaba	44	44	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.36	-9	4	-13	14.5	14.8	-0.37	16.1	15.0	1.13
D'Angelo Russell	82	84	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.33	-11	6	-17	14.9	13.3	1.56	15.2	17.7	-2.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.87,0.92,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.32,0.11,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 98, PHX 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.53,0.33,0.19,0.11,0,0,0	92.3%
TOR 93, ORL 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.54,0.27,0.26,0.07,0.01,0,0	91.6%
GSW 106, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.25,0.15,0.03,0.02,0	91.1%