NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	95		Excitement	6.3 [583]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +27.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Comeback	2.7 [735]		LVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): -26.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Snell	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	6	57%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.00	9	56%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0.07	0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	7	65%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Thon Maker	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.03	15	61%	0.11	2	-0.09	3	33%	-0.03
Mirza Teletovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	-0.02	0.05	7	72%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Rashad Vaughn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	4	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	0.01	-0.01	10	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	13	30%	-0.16	3	-0.10	4	25%	-0.10

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.15	0.13	0.01	12	73%	0.33	2	-0.06	9	78%	0.02
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.08	0.03	7	87%	0.19	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.01	11	59%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	20	58%	0.16	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	69%	0.05	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	37%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	57%	0.05	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.4	28.4	17.7	26.0	2.8	31.3	134.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +34.6%

CLE +23.7%

CLE +0.5%

MIL -14.4%

CLE +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CLE	NBA	MIL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.8	15.3	14.8	102.2	110.9	107.7
season	14.9	14.9		107.4	113.5
opponent	14.7	15.3		109.6	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.0	16.3	14.8	16.3	15.8
CLE	12.8	15.0	15.9	18.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	44	42	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.12	8	-15	23	15.5	16.1	-0.64	15.7	15.0	0.69
Rashad Vaughn	26	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-12	17	15.7	15.9	-0.26	18.6	14.0	4.60
Mirza Teletovic	16	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	-3	-1	17.2	15.6	1.63	13.3	15.7	-2.40
Michael Beasley	18	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	-2	-3	15.6	15.9	-0.28	15.8	15.2	0.67
Greg Monroe	39	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-11	15	15.0	16.4	-1.40	14.3	16.0	-1.67
Thon Maker	17	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	-1	-5	14.1	16.2	-2.18	15.1	15.4	-0.30
John Henson	35	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.14	-1	-6	5	17.6	14.8	2.78	17.0	14.3	2.75
Tony Snell	65	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	1	-9	15.9	15.7	0.18	14.3	17.7	-3.46
Malcolm Brogdon	62	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.44	0	-7	7	14.6	18.2	-3.58	15.7	14.6	1.08
Giannis Antetokounmpo	82	81	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.27	-12	5	-17	16.1	14.1	1.98	15.0	17.3	-2.25
Matthew Dellavedova	61	62	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.16	-16	9	-25	16.7	14.1	2.61	14.8	16.3	-1.44

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	71	71	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.33	8	-1	9	15.4	14.8	0.63	16.2	14.6	1.57
Kyrie Irving	72	73	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-5	17	14.4	18.5	-4.10	15.5	17.2	-1.80
Tristan Thompson	68	69	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	-1	9	14.4	17.7	-3.27	15.6	16.6	-1.06
Derrick Williams	51	53	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.23	4	3	1	16.5	13.8	2.77	15.1	16.8	-1.77
Iman Shumpert	60	61	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	3	1	14.3	17.2	-2.86	17.0	13.6	3.38
Kyle Korver	53	53	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.23	-1	8	-9	17.2	12.7	4.52	15.1	16.8	-1.73
Richard Jefferson	61	61	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	6	-5	14.5	16.9	-2.48	16.0	15.5	0.52
Channing Frye	24	24	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	8	-9	17.7	14.4	3.27	16.6	15.6	1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.79,0.71,0.61,0.86,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 90, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.59,0.67,0.8,0.93,0.96,0.99,1	92.3%
VAN 82, SEA 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.96,1	92.0%
PHI 84, CHA 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.73,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.85,0.99,0.99,1,1	91.7%