NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	139		Excitement	21.4 [1]		MVP	Justin Holiday (NYK): +43.0%
Atlanta Hawks	142		Comeback	9.6 [194]		LVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (ATL): -42.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Holiday	0.43	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.02	0.39	-0.02	15	50%	0.46	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.26	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.26	0.02	0.24	0.01	16	50%	0.40	1	-0.14	2	100%	0.09
Carmelo Anthony	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0,0.12,0.12,-0.03,0.12,0.06,0.06,0,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.38,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.16	0.09	0.01	36	57%	0.47	3	-0.24	7	86%	0.02
Ron Baker	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.01	4	100%	0.14	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.29,0.2,0.08	0.02	0.07	0.01	15	50%	0.12	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Kristaps Porzingis	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	14	48%	0.10	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	13	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Willy Hernangomez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	5	50%	-0.03	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.13	-0.14	-0.00	9	11%	-0.23	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.07	0.33	0.01	11	66%	0.44	2	-0.05	7	43%	-0.12
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.16	0.22	0.00	15	75%	0.40	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.05	0.00	6	100%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.23,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.32,0.22,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.04,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.10	0.02	29	54%	0.32	3	-0.17	10	80%	0.03
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.13,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28,-0.39,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.15	-0.16	0.00	25	40%	-0.02	6	-0.30	7	57%	-0.03
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.43	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.01	20	37%	-0.38	1	-0.05	12	75%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2		OT3		OT4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	27.8	14.8	28.2	2.4	39.4	2.4	19.9	1.7	17.3	1.6	16.1	2.4	16.0	217.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.9	2.2	17.9	2.2	17.9	2.2	17.9	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -86.2%

ATL +24.3%

ATL +78.3%

ATL +33.9%

NYK -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	16.3	14.7	14.8	104.5	109.2	107.7
season	15.0	14.4		106.6	104.2
opponent	14.9	14.7		104.6	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	14.3	16.4	17.6	16.3	20.1	16.4
ATL	12.9	14.9	14.4	15.0	13.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kristaps Porzingis	58	60	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.19	-1	-2	1	16.0	16.5	-0.53	15.0	14.6	0.41
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	75	72	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.04	6	-9	15	15.4	17.4	-1.98	14.4	15.2	-0.80
Kyle O'Quinn	50	50	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.10	-2	-1	-1	16.2	16.3	-0.13	14.8	14.7	0.09
Ron Baker	34	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-4	5	15.4	16.6	-1.14	14.2	14.9	-0.77
Joakim Noah	78	77	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.28	2	-5	7	16.8	15.6	1.19	14.9	14.5	0.46
Courtney Lee	102	100	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.40	5	-8	13	16.2	16.4	-0.12	14.8	14.5	0.36
Carmelo Anthony	89	88	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.35	-3	0	-3	16.8	15.2	1.58	14.3	15.8	-1.50
Brandon Jennings	92	93	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.38	-5	2	-7	16.3	16.2	0.10	14.8	14.6	0.14
Justin Holiday	71	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.28	-10	7	-17	16.4	16.1	0.34	15.3	14.2	1.07
Willy Hernangomez	7	5	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.54	-8	5	-13	15.6	16.3	-0.73	14.2	14.8	-0.57

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	112	112	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.57	5	-2	7	14.5	16.3	-1.78	16.3	16.1	0.14
Mike Muscala	41	43	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.71	-1	4	-5	15.5	14.4	1.05	15.5	16.6	-1.14
Kent Bazemore	86	86	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.49	4	-1	5	14.5	15.2	-0.73	16.7	15.4	1.33
Mike Dunleavy	40	44	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.06	21	-18	39	14.1	15.0	-0.90	16.5	16.1	0.35
Paul Millsap	106	109	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.36	-1	4	-5	15.0	13.4	1.63	15.7	18.9	-3.24
Dwight Howard	74	72	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	2	-1	14.6	14.9	-0.23	17.1	15.3	1.73
Kris Humphries	18	21	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	4	-5	14.9	14.7	0.17	15.4	16.4	-1.05
Dennis Schroder	103	106	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.31	5	-2	7	15.0	13.7	1.36	16.5	15.4	1.07
Taurean Prince	8	9	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.08	-9	12	-21	12.9	14.9	-1.99	15.7	16.3	-0.64
Malcolm Delaney	45	45	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.02	-9	12	-21	14.2	15.0	-0.87	15.4	16.7	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.43,0.52,0.43,0.53,0.83,0.65,0.83,0.86,0.64,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.45,0.15,0.46,0.67,0.66,0.85,0.72,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.78,0.59,0.54,0.31,0.45,0.17,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 82, LAC 74	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.78,0.62,0.63,0.34,0.09,0	84.4%
PHX 107, NYK 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.67,0.83,0.75,0.84,0.77,0.73,0	84.2%
CLE 75, DAL 72	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.59,0.77,0.7,0.59,0.78,0.86,0.79,0.35,0.42,0	84.0%