NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	114		Excitement	6.3 [588]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): +33.3%
San Antonio Spurs	122		Comeback	2.9 [814]		LVP	Danny Green (SAS): -13.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shabazz Muhammad	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	-0.02	0.00	6	88%	0.16	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Zach LaVine	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.03	14	64%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.03	-0.01	18	66%	0.21	5	-0.16	5	100%	0.02
Ricky Rubio	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.02	9	66%	0.13	3	-0.10	14	93%	0.05
Gorgui Dieng	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.04	12	57%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.03
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	46%	0.04	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	8	45%	-0.00	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.26	0.10	0.02	17	79%	0.37	1	-0.04	9	89%	0.04
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	1	87%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.01	0.04	20	63%	0.14	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	10	55%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.02	-0.00	5	82%	0.10	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	42%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kyle Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	13	48%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.04	0.02	8	28%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.7	36.5	15.5	26.4	2.3	31.4	139.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +20.3%

SAS +0.1%

MIN -1.2%

SAS +30.4%

SAS +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAS	NBA	MIN	SAS	NBA
this game	13.6	14.5	14.8	111.8	118.4	107.7
season	15.3	15.4		109.3	110.1
opponent	14.8	14.7		103.7	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.3	13.0	13.4	13.8	13.6
SAS	15.1	14.2	13.3	15.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gorgui Dieng	61	63	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.12	5	-13	18	13.6	13.5	0.10	14.6	14.4	0.16
Kris Dunn	18	20	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-2	-4	15.4	13.2	2.24	12.0	15.1	-3.10
Zach LaVine	73	76	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.26	1	-9	10	13.5	13.8	-0.32	15.0	13.1	1.83
Ricky Rubio	84	83	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.22	-2	-6	4	13.2	15.4	-2.24	15.1	12.0	3.10
Andrew Wiggins	83	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	0	-8	13.1	15.6	-2.50	14.6	14.1	0.54
Karl-Anthony Towns	89	89	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-3	-2	13.4	14.9	-1.52	14.9	11.6	3.30
Shabazz Muhammad	48	46	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	1	-10	14.5	12.8	1.78	13.5	15.3	-1.76
Nemanja Bjelica	54	54	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.18	-16	8	-24	13.9	13.3	0.58	13.7	15.4	-1.70

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	29	29	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.16	20	-12	32	13.3	15.0	-1.65	15.6	12.8	2.78
Dewayne Dedmon	42	40	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.26	15	-7	22	13.8	15.0	-1.20	14.8	12.8	1.98
Manu Ginobili	43	42	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.16	13	-5	18	12.6	15.8	-3.25	14.4	13.0	1.41
Patty Mills	42	42	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.20	11	-3	14	12.9	15.6	-2.69	14.2	13.2	1.01
Kawhi Leonard	82	82	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.14	5	3	2	15.0	12.5	2.48	13.3	15.0	-1.74
Danny Green	57	57	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	4	0	15.3	13.5	1.84	13.6	13.6	-0.08
Jonathon Simmons	27	27	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	10	-12	14.5	14.5	-0.02	12.5	14.0	-1.47
LaMarcus Aldridge	77	76	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.09	-4	12	-16	15.2	12.4	2.82	12.9	15.5	-2.60
Tony Parker	61	60	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	11	-14	15.6	12.9	2.69	13.2	14.2	-1.01
Bryn Forbes	1	1	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	11	-14	0.0	14.6	-14.64	3.0	13.7	-10.70
Kyle Anderson	12	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	12	-16	11.2	14.9	-3.77	11.4	13.9	-2.50
Davis Bertans	5	6	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	14	-20	17.4	14.3	3.05	16.0	13.4	2.55
Pau Gasol	37	37	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.05	-6	14	-20	15.6	13.8	1.80	13.3	13.8	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.41,0.28,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.58,0.57,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.9,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 102, LAL 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.8,0.88,0.96,0.91,0.93,0.81,0.96,1,1,1	94.0%
BOS 102, LAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.27,0.29,0.44,0.66,0.52,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%
POR 96, IND 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.95,1,0.98,1,1	92.9%