NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	122		Excitement	7.2 [426]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +41.1%
Houston Rockets	129		Comeback	2.6 [1000]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -9.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	-0.01	9	70%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.07	0.04	10	65%	0.12	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Brandon Jennings	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.14	-0.04	0.05	22	63%	0.10	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.02	12	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.08	5	25%	-0.03	1	0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Ndour	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.03	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Derrick Rose	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	23	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	11	29%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.29	0.17	0.05	26	76%	0.60	8	-0.19	18	89%	0.10
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.22	0.20	0.02	12	83%	0.39	0	0.00	6	83%	0.07
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.04	0.04	7	87%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	6	58%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	19	39%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	15	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.7	27.4	16.5	26.3	2.3	35.4	133.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +36.0%

HOU +42.1%

NYK -9.1%

NYK -20.2%

HOU +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	HOU	NBA	NYK	HOU	NBA
this game	13.4	14.3	14.8	117.3	124.0	107.7
season	15.0	13.7		106.6	113.2
opponent	14.9	14.7		108.1	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.4	14.4	12.3	12.4	13.4
HOU	14.4	14.4	14.4	14.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Ndour	21	21	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.06	8	-15	23	12.1	13.7	-1.58	14.0	14.4	-0.36
Willy Hernangomez	41	42	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.08	4	-11	15	13.3	13.4	-0.02	14.7	14.1	0.67
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	35	35	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.08	4	-11	15	12.6	13.7	-1.10	14.6	14.2	0.40
Sasha Vujacic	8	8	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.04	2	-9	11	16.5	13.1	3.41	14.6	14.3	0.31
Carmelo Anthony	40	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-2	-3	15.1	12.3	2.79	14.1	14.5	-0.42
Justin Holiday	66	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-3	-1	12.5	14.8	-2.34	14.2	14.6	-0.48
Derrick Rose	89	88	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.26	-9	2	-11	13.5	12.7	0.73	14.3	14.6	-0.27
Joakim Noah	63	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.21	-11	4	-15	13.4	13.3	0.02	14.1	14.7	-0.67
Brandon Jennings	87	88	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.26	-10	3	-13	13.3	13.8	-0.56	14.4	13.9	0.55
Lance Thomas	70	70	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.22	-14	7	-21	13.5	13.0	0.57	14.5	14.0	0.54

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	75	76	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.27	13	-6	19	14.5	14.0	0.51	13.5	13.1	0.39
James Harden	92	92	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.26	13	-6	19	14.3	14.8	-0.56	13.0	16.0	-2.99
Trevor Ariza	85	85	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.28	9	-2	11	14.2	15.1	-0.88	13.2	14.1	-0.85
Montrezl Harrell	69	71	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	0	7	14.4	14.3	0.08	13.6	12.8	0.83
Eric Gordon	70	69	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	4	-1	14.3	14.3	0.02	12.6	14.8	-2.22
Corey Brewer	61	61	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	6	-5	14.7	13.8	0.97	14.2	12.2	2.03
Nene	27	26	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	6	-5	13.9	14.5	-0.65	13.2	13.4	-0.27
Tyler Ennis	12	12	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	13	-19	14.8	14.3	0.56	16.0	13.0	2.99
Sam Dekker	29	28	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.02	-6	13	-19	14.0	14.5	-0.51	13.1	13.5	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.77,0.87,0.78,0.78,0.66,0.76,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 88, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.63,0.63,0.79,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.8%
CHI 99, BOS 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.85,0.89,0.81,0.73,0.86,0.87,0.97,0.97,1	92.4%
MIL 86, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.53,0.64,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.67,0.79,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.88,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	92.4%