NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	124		Excitement	9.4 [109]		MVP	Robert Covington (PHI): +34.9%
Denver Nuggets	122		Comeback	1.2 [213]		LVP	Jusuf Nurkic (DEN): -12.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Covington	0.35	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.35	0.13	0.21	-0.01	12	66%	0.35	0	0.00	5	80%	0.05
TJ McConnell	0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.27,0.27	0.06	0.19	-0.01	12	65%	0.29	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Ersan Ilyasova	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	16	68%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.07	0.00	7	56%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Joel Embiid	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06	-0.01	0.09	0.01	13	57%	0.19	5	-0.13	14	86%	-0.01
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dario Saric	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	11	45%	0.05	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Nerlens Noel	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Hollis Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.12	0.13	0.00	5	110%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.02	0.01	11	73%	0.16	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.06
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	11	58%	0.14	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.08
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.01	0.03	13	71%	0.17	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.03
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	13	38%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.08	0.02	12	57%	0.01	3	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	5	20%	-0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	32.3	15.4	25.5	2.5	49.4	152.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +34.1%

PHI +16.9%

DEN -5.6%

PHI +5.7%

DEN -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DEN	NBA	PHI	DEN	NBA
this game	14.3	14.1	14.8	122.8	119.6	107.7
season	14.5	14.4		101.9	111.6
opponent	14.5	14.4		111.2	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.0	12.7	17.1	14.5	14.3
DEN	16.4	13.9	14.2	12.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ersan Ilyasova	80	80	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.52	2	0	2	14.6	13.0	1.59	13.2	17.6	-4.43
Nik Stauskas	59	61	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-11	24	14.6	13.8	0.77	15.0	12.8	2.20
Dario Saric	59	59	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.34	2	0	2	13.9	14.8	-0.90	14.5	13.6	0.97
Robert Covington	60	61	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.25	4	-2	6	15.0	13.1	1.87	12.6	16.4	-3.88
Joel Embiid	59	61	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	-4	10	14.4	14.0	0.40	14.0	14.2	-0.17
TJ McConnell	78	79	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.52	-9	11	-20	14.3	14.2	0.11	13.1	17.7	-4.62
Nerlens Noel	42	40	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	5	-8	14.0	14.4	-0.40	14.5	13.9	0.59
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	24	23	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	3	-4	11.5	15.1	-3.67	17.2	13.2	3.95
Hollis Thompson	44	46	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	6	-10	14.2	14.3	-0.13	16.2	12.4	3.78

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jusuf Nurkic	38	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-5	8	17.1	12.4	4.72	14.0	14.4	-0.44
Emmanuel Mudiay	67	67	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.36	9	-11	20	12.1	18.0	-5.91	14.0	14.8	-0.85
Will Barton	56	54	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-5	8	16.0	11.8	4.21	14.9	13.5	1.44
Danilo Gallinari	65	66	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.31	7	-9	16	12.2	17.4	-5.20	14.1	14.5	-0.44
Jamal Murray	25	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	2	-6	15.6	13.6	1.91	14.8	14.1	0.76
Kenneth Faried	22	22	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	4	-10	18.1	13.0	5.12	14.4	14.2	0.14
Gary Harris	72	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-5	8	13.7	15.1	-1.44	14.2	14.3	-0.03
Nikola Jokic	50	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.27	-1	-1	0	11.9	16.3	-4.43	13.2	15.4	-2.13
Jameer Nelson	35	33	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	9	-20	18.0	12.1	5.91	15.3	13.8	1.51
Wilson Chandler	80	78	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.38	-13	11	-24	13.1	17.6	-4.49	14.4	13.9	0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.48,0.34,0.47,0.27,0.41,0.34,0.09,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 98, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.07,0.06,0.1,0	92.6%
PHX 92, ORL 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.22,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.3,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.28,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0	92.3%
NJN 86, MIA 74	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.1,0.1,0.01,0,0,0	92.0%