NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	119		Excitement	6.4 [557]		MVP	Lou Williams (LAL): +27.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	115		Comeback	1.4 [586]		LVP	Jordan Clarkson (LAL): -23.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.23,0.26	0.21	0.08	0.04	18	68%	0.29	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Brandon Knight	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18	0.07	0.09	-0.02	11	56%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.04
Leandro Barbosa	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.03	-0.00	16	66%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	8	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	58%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
PJ Tucker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	40%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Devin Booker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	17	42%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.27	0.27	0.23	0.07	0.02	19	71%	0.33	2	-0.05	11	82%	0.00
Marcelo Huertas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.00	7	86%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	8	53%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	83%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Brandon Ingram	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.01	8	45%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	0.00	11	48%	0.02	6	-0.19	7	86%	0.02
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24	-0.24	-0.12	-0.10	0.02	17	38%	-0.09	4	-0.15	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	3.4	27.8	16.0	28.9	2.5	42.4	145.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +30.1%

PHX +0.6%

LAL -10.2%

PHX +29.9%

LAL -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	13.5	13.8	14.8	112.3	109.5	107.7
season	13.9	14.5		105.4	104.8
opponent	14.4	14.5		111.6	110.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.4	13.2	14.0	13.5	13.5
LAL	12.8	15.0	14.2	13.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	73	73	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.23	18	-14	32	13.3	14.1	-0.82	13.4	14.7	-1.32
Leandro Barbosa	64	62	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.29	6	-2	8	12.8	14.6	-1.73	14.4	12.9	1.50
Devin Booker	60	63	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-8	20	14.1	12.7	1.43	13.6	14.0	-0.42
Alex Len	75	73	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	-7	18	13.5	13.6	-0.07	14.2	12.9	1.24
Tyson Chandler	54	53	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.23	3	1	2	13.6	13.4	0.24	13.0	14.6	-1.56
PJ Tucker	58	56	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.15	4	0	4	13.2	13.9	-0.75	13.3	14.3	-0.93
Jared Dudley	63	63	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.28	-2	6	-8	13.6	13.4	0.26	14.0	13.4	0.69
Marquese Chriss	16	17	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	7	-10	14.6	13.3	1.22	14.1	13.7	0.34
Brandon Knight	51	48	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.39	-19	23	-42	13.6	13.4	0.23	13.4	14.1	-0.69
Dragan Bender	16	17	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.07	-10	14	-24	14.2	13.4	0.78	15.8	13.4	2.45

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Nance Jr.	44	44	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.20	9	-13	22	13.8	13.7	0.12	14.4	12.9	1.54
Marcelo Huertas	38	42	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.15	7	-11	18	14.5	13.4	1.10	13.9	13.3	0.58
Thomas Robinson	24	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	0	-4	15.4	13.3	2.13	13.4	13.6	-0.12
Lou Williams	76	76	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.52	12	-16	28	13.8	13.8	-0.03	13.6	13.4	0.13
Brandon Ingram	68	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	-5	1	-6	13.6	14.2	-0.60	13.6	13.4	0.15
Julius Randle	75	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-2	0	13.1	15.3	-2.19	13.5	13.6	-0.07
Luol Deng	81	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.31	-6	2	-8	13.5	14.6	-1.05	13.1	14.9	-1.74
Timofey Mozgov	43	44	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.01	-17	13	-30	14.9	13.0	1.88	13.3	13.7	-0.44
Jordan Clarkson	76	75	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.26	-14	10	-24	13.3	15.0	-1.70	13.3	14.0	-0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.35,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.25,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 102, UTA 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.03,0,0,0	93.7%
DET 86, PHI 78	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0	93.7%
GSW 102, IND 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%