inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 111 Excitement7.7 [326] MVPJames Johnson (MIA): +36.7%
Utah Jazz 110 Comeback1.4 [304] LVPDante Exum (UTA): -16.0%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Johnson0.370,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.37,0.370.170.19-0.001580%0.411-0.0400%0.00
Wayne Ellington0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.150.04-0.02985%0.2200.002100%0.01
Goran Dragic0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.110.040.080.012155%0.192-0.07771%0.01
Rodney McGruder0.080,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.020.01475%0.0800.004100%0.02
Willie Reed0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.030.00560%0.0500.0000%0.00
Luke Babbitt-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00050%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Hassan Whiteside-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.02-0.011137%-0.0000.00250%-0.02
Josh McRoberts-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.020.001050%0.022-0.0600%0.00
Tyler Johnson-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13-0.07-0.07-0.001133%-0.061-0.082100%0.01

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Ingles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.260.260.150.110.00894%0.2600.0000%0.00
Joe Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.31,0.2,0.20.200.130.070.00990%0.332-0.132100%0.02
Jeff Withey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.040.00286%0.1000.00367%-0.01
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.11-0.010.00887%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Rudy Gobert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.050.00475%0.0900.0000%0.00
Raul Neto0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.040.001150%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.01-0.00950%0.042-0.05450%-0.04
Gordon Hayward0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.3,-0.04-0.040.18-0.200.022264%-0.0400.00683%0.02
Boris Diaw0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.0140%-0.071-0.0400%0.00
Dante Exum0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.10-0.060.00636%-0.034-0.132100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.52.725.615.526.22.430.8127.6
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA -1.5%
MIA +3.2%
MIA +22.6%
MIA +14.1%
MIA +11.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAUTANBAMIAUTANBA
this game16.616.714.8127.6127.9107.7
season15.416.1106.7108.0
opponent15.014.5105.0105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA17.616.416.416.216.6
UTA18.417.115.615.816.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rodney McGruder66640.81-0.311.120.3715-142915.819.1-3.3117.713.83.88
James Johnson45460.63-0.130.760.369-81715.218.2-3.0616.516.8-0.35
Hassan Whiteside67650.420.080.350.45-12-317.015.31.7316.218.0-1.83
Goran Dragic64650.420.080.340.45-12-317.613.93.7616.517.3-0.82
Tyler Johnson57540.330.170.160.45-45-916.317.3-0.9715.818.2-2.43
Willie Reed20210.080.42-0.350.022-1315.317.0-1.7318.016.21.83
Wayne Ellington6162-0.030.53-0.550.12-56-1116.317.3-0.9616.118.2-2.14
Luke Babbitt1313-0.030.53-0.560.03-23-518.616.32.3319.416.23.21
Josh McRoberts4240-0.130.63-0.760.11-89-1718.215.23.0616.816.50.35

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shelvin Mack6061-0.05-0.450.40-0.4915-163115.519.3-3.7916.716.40.35
Joe Johnson5761-0.09-0.410.32-0.3810-112116.816.40.4316.915.91.01
Dante Exum3333-0.18-0.320.15-0.00-65-1117.316.31.0416.616.6-0.04
Boris Diaw2323-0.19-0.310.120.02-76-1318.316.02.3017.316.40.85
Jeff Withey2424-0.21-0.290.07-0.12-32-517.416.40.9914.517.4-2.94
Trey Lyles4444-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.15-43-716.616.7-0.1516.916.40.47
Rudy Gobert6263-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.352-3516.417.4-0.9917.414.52.94
Joe Ingles4342-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.381-2316.017.3-1.3715.317.8-2.51
Gordon Hayward7171-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.40-10-116.915.61.2917.015.02.00
Raul Neto1313-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.09-1211-2318.016.41.5815.116.9-1.83


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.22,0.33,0.25,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.32,0.26,0
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 86, LAC 830.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.07,0.1,0.23,0.26,092.6%
CHA 98, NYK 910.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.16,0,092.3%
HOU 99, POR 890.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.18,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.11,0,092.2%