NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	119		Excitement	7.6 [344]		MVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): +31.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	122		Comeback	6.1 [165]		LVP	Ty Lawson (SAC): -13.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0.32	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.17,0.21,0.32,0.32	0.23	0.11	0.03	16	85%	0.58	8	-0.27	22	91%	0.11
Matt Barnes	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.25	0.09	0.15	-0.01	12	67%	0.29	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	10	77%	0.16	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Kosta Koufos	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	70%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Malachi Richardson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.03	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	54%	0.00	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Arron Afflalo	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.1	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	9	44%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	5	40%	-0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.28	0.28	0.09	0.19	0.00	7	68%	0.28	0	0.00	8	87%	0.08
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.11	0.15	-0.01	16	66%	0.31	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.06
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.13	0.01	11	77%	0.24	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.08	0.00	10	80%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.03	0.01	5	86%	0.13	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04
TJ McConnell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	8	53%	0.13	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	54%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	26.5	15.5	28.5	2.4	45.4	144.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +14.4%

PHI +14.6%

PHI +2.1%

PHI +21.3%

SAC -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHI	NBA	SAC	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	13.9	14.8	119.0	123.2	107.7
season	15.4	14.5		106.0	101.9
opponent	14.4	14.6		107.6	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.4	15.5	16.7	13.1	15.1
PHI	11.7	15.8	14.0	14.1	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	39	36	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.17	8	-11	19	14.6	15.4	-0.76	12.1	14.8	-2.70
Malachi Richardson	10	12	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-5	7	14.6	15.1	-0.53	16.6	13.5	3.10
Darren Collison	50	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	2	-7	15.9	14.3	1.60	13.3	14.4	-1.09
Anthony Tolliver	39	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	3	-9	16.3	14.3	2.05	15.3	12.8	2.44
Matt Barnes	47	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-7	11	13.7	16.3	-2.52	14.3	13.5	0.81
Willie Cauley-Stein	39	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	1	-5	15.8	14.6	1.17	15.1	13.0	2.09
Arron Afflalo	79	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.32	2	-5	7	14.9	15.9	-0.98	13.1	16.4	-3.22
Ty Lawson	55	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-3	3	14.4	15.9	-1.51	14.5	13.0	1.46
DeMarcus Cousins	67	65	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	3	-9	15.3	14.7	0.57	13.8	14.1	-0.30
Garrett Temple	75	71	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.49	-10	7	-17	15.2	14.7	0.53	13.2	15.5	-2.29

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Covington	76	77	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.34	11	-8	19	13.7	14.5	-0.86	14.8	15.9	-1.03
Dario Saric	59	57	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.35	10	-7	17	13.6	14.2	-0.66	14.9	15.3	-0.31
TJ McConnell	71	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.50	-3	6	-9	13.9	13.8	0.10	14.6	16.3	-1.78
Gerald Henderson	54	54	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	-2	7	12.9	15.0	-2.09	14.7	15.6	-0.90
Nerlens Noel	49	49	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.13	9	-6	15	14.2	13.5	0.68	16.0	14.2	1.88
Nik Stauskas	55	56	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	4	-5	15.3	12.0	3.30	15.6	14.4	1.24
Sergio Rodriguez	28	29	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	-3	9	13.8	13.9	-0.10	16.3	14.6	1.78
Ersan Ilyasova	48	51	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.23	-7	10	-17	13.1	14.6	-1.50	13.8	16.4	-2.52
Jahlil Okafor	42	43	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.11	-6	9	-15	14.7	13.2	1.49	15.6	14.7	0.96
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	13	13	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.08	-9	12	-21	12.8	14.0	-1.25	15.8	15.0	0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.71,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.73,0.69,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.79,0.86,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 86, IND 92	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,1	92.9%
CLE 87, IND 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.24,0.31,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.76,0.9,0.96,0.92,1,1,1	92.3%
BKN 89, MIA 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.34,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.34,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	91.6%