NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	101		Excitement	8.2 [233]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (HOU): +30.7%
San Antonio Spurs	99		Comeback	1.4 [333]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -19.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.31	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.15	0.17	0.01	11	69%	0.31	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Sam Dekker	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	5	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	8	60%	0.10	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.04
Tyler Ennis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KJ McDaniels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.05	-0.03	14	48%	0.00	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.03,-0.11,-0.13,-0.2	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	19	53%	0.07	8	-0.26	7	71%	-0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	4	82%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Davis Bertans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	8	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Laprovittola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.13,-0.08	-0.08	0.10	-0.16	0.02	26	57%	0.01	2	-0.09	8	100%	0.05
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	2	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	7	40%	-0.09	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	15	40%	-0.04	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.4	31.7	15.7	27.5	3.4	33.2	141.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +77.8%

SAS -7.1%

HOU +7.3%

SAS -28.8%

HOU +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAS	NBA	HOU	SAS	NBA
this game	14.7	15.4	14.8	105.2	104.2	107.7
season	13.7	15.4		113.2	110.1
opponent	14.8	14.9		103.7	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.0	14.5	14.8	16.8	14.7
SAS	16.4	14.9	15.2	15.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	81	80	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.45	13	-11	24	14.6	15.7	-1.18	15.8	13.6	2.16
Trevor Ariza	81	80	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.47	12	-10	22	14.6	15.7	-1.18	15.8	13.6	2.16
Nene	43	42	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-9	20	14.8	14.7	0.13	14.8	15.9	-1.05
Ryan Anderson	73	73	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	-1	4	14.8	14.6	0.23	15.5	15.2	0.25
Eric Gordon	67	66	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.49	-6	8	-14	14.9	14.4	0.42	15.5	15.1	0.41
Corey Brewer	29	29	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.05	8	-6	14	14.4	14.9	-0.42	15.1	15.5	-0.41
Montrezl Harrell	10	9	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	2	-2	14.8	14.7	0.07	17.8	15.2	2.60
KJ McDaniels	9	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	6	-10	15.9	14.6	1.27	14.6	15.5	-0.92
Clint Capela	35	35	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.19	-11	13	-24	15.2	14.5	0.72	16.0	15.1	0.92
Sam Dekker	37	36	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.14	-5	7	-12	14.2	15.1	-0.85	14.3	16.1	-1.80
Tyler Ennis	15	15	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.01	-11	13	-24	15.7	14.6	1.18	13.6	15.8	-2.16

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Anderson	25	26	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.21	13	-15	28	15.1	15.5	-0.41	16.0	14.3	1.68
Jonathon Simmons	42	42	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.10	9	-11	20	14.3	16.3	-1.95	15.2	14.4	0.80
Danny Green	50	52	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.18	9	-11	20	14.9	16.0	-1.02	15.8	13.5	2.29
David Lee	30	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	0	-2	16.5	14.9	1.63	14.8	14.7	0.05
Nicolas Laprovittola	29	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	5	-12	15.7	15.3	0.39	14.1	15.0	-0.90
Dewayne Dedmon	8	8	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	8	-18	18.9	15.1	3.77	12.4	15.0	-2.58
LaMarcus Aldridge	61	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.31	3	-5	8	14.9	16.4	-1.59	14.8	14.7	0.08
Davis Bertans	20	19	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	3	-8	16.7	15.1	1.62	13.4	15.1	-1.71
Patty Mills	66	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.45	5	-7	12	15.3	15.7	-0.39	15.0	14.1	0.90
Pau Gasol	25	27	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.14	-6	4	-10	15.7	15.3	0.35	14.0	15.0	-1.08
Manu Ginobili	42	41	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.22	-7	5	-12	15.5	15.3	0.18	14.1	15.2	-1.16
Kawhi Leonard	77	77	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.47	-12	10	-22	15.6	14.6	1.00	14.5	15.5	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.21,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.37,0.17,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.15,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 110, NYK 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.16,0.09,0	91.8%
DET 99, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.08,0	91.5%
BKN 98, PHX 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.26,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.34,0.52,0.37,0.23,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.02,0	91.3%