NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	110		Excitement	8.7 [187]		MVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): +23.4%
Brooklyn Nets	119		Comeback	1.4 [541]		LVP	Shabazz Muhammad (MIN): -20.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0.23	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23	0.05	0.13	-0.06	29	55%	0.27	4	-0.03	8	50%	-0.08
Gorgui Dieng	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Tyus Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	71%	0.15	3	-0.14	3	67%	-0.01
Zach LaVine	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.01,0	-0.01	-0.03	-0.04	16	45%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.05
Cole Aldrich	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Kris Dunn	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.08	0.01	15	62%	0.04	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Shabazz Muhammad	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	12	29%	-0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.05,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.10	0.00	16	74%	0.32	5	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	4	93%	0.16	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Justin Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	4	112%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.06	0.02	9	59%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	9	61%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	13	52%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	64%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	7	70%	0.13	6	-0.21	6	100%	0.05
Isaiah Whitehead	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	1.8	25.6	15.5	24.2	2.8	34.2	132.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +73.3%

BKN +5.4%

MIN -15.1%

MIN -12.3%

MIN -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	BKN	NBA	MIN	BKN	NBA
this game	14.1	13.4	14.8	105.8	113.3	107.7
season	15.3	13.7		109.3	103.2
opponent	14.4	14.7		109.6	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.1	14.7	14.0	12.9	14.1
BKN	12.1	13.6	14.8	13.3	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cole Aldrich	52	53	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.15	7	-16	23	13.7	14.5	-0.81	13.2	13.7	-0.45
Nemanja Bjelica	28	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-10	11	13.1	14.5	-1.36	12.7	13.7	-1.02
Gorgui Dieng	40	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.11	-9	0	-9	15.4	13.4	2.02	14.0	13.1	0.95
Tyus Jones	73	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.27	1	-10	11	13.5	15.7	-2.20	12.8	14.9	-2.14
Kris Dunn	31	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	1	-11	15.7	13.5	2.20	14.9	12.8	2.14
Shabazz Muhammad	55	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-4	-1	13.0	15.4	-2.41	12.6	14.4	-1.84
Andrew Wiggins	89	90	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-5	1	14.1	14.3	-0.15	13.3	13.9	-0.59
Zach LaVine	85	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.14	-11	2	-13	14.5	12.3	2.23	13.9	11.6	2.32
Karl-Anthony Towns	67	68	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.22	-15	6	-21	14.6	13.4	1.22	13.8	12.8	1.04

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Booker	60	61	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.31	15	-6	21	13.3	13.6	-0.34	13.8	14.6	-0.80
Bojan Bogdanovic	59	59	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.12	21	-12	33	13.4	13.4	-0.01	14.4	13.8	0.63
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	56	58	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.27	14	-5	19	14.2	12.6	1.65	14.4	13.8	0.51
Brook Lopez	57	56	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.27	11	-2	13	14.3	12.4	1.94	15.1	13.0	2.11
Sean Kilpatrick	61	60	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.27	1	8	-7	12.9	14.1	-1.18	13.8	14.5	-0.67
Isaiah Whitehead	58	56	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.22	11	-2	13	13.2	13.7	-0.53	14.2	14.1	0.10
Luis Scola	39	38	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.03	-2	11	-13	12.6	13.9	-1.29	13.0	14.8	-1.83
Randy Foye	34	32	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	15	-21	12.4	13.9	-1.50	13.0	14.6	-1.59
Joe Harris	50	50	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.13	-10	19	-29	13.6	13.3	0.33	14.0	14.3	-0.30
Justin Hamilton	51	50	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.02	-10	19	-29	13.8	13.1	0.65	14.9	13.4	1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.61,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.8,0.73,0.59,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.79,0.67,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 86, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.89,0.96,1	93.4%
PHI 89, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.54,0.54,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.98,1	92.9%
MIN 85, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.78,0.91,1	92.4%