NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Excitement	6.0 [618]		MVP	Nemanja Bjelica (MIN): +23.5%
Sacramento Kings	97		Comeback	1.3 [397]		LVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): -18.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nemanja Bjelica	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.16	0.10	0.03	7	112%	0.27	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Tyus Jones	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.02	3	83%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.00	0.03	10	82%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	15	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	12	52%	0.09	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	16	45%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
Damjan Rudez	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	10	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Adreian Payne	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	5	-0.14	4	50%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.01	12	65%	0.12	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	12	68%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	12	56%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Moreland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	0.05	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	7	14%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.03	0.03	9	40%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	0.00	15	38%	-0.06	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.6	34.2	15.3	25.8	2.0	25.3	130.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +43.1%

MIN +0.5%

MIN +2.6%

MIN +2.8%

MIN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	14.3	15.2	14.9	106.1	101.0	105.1
season	14.8	13.9		104.8	104.8
opponent	14.6	15.0		107.1	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.3	13.0	16.1	16.8	14.3
SAC	13.5	17.2	14.5	16.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gorgui Dieng	74	73	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.02	23	-15	38	13.6	16.4	-2.80	14.7	16.8	-2.13
Tyus Jones	50	48	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	2	4	15.9	12.8	3.14	16.0	14.4	1.58
Andrew Wiggins	72	69	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.16	19	-11	30	14.0	15.3	-1.26	14.8	16.2	-1.41
Nemanja Bjelica	47	48	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.15	6	2	4	15.2	13.5	1.70	16.4	14.0	2.46
Zach LaVine	58	54	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.05	11	-3	14	13.3	15.9	-2.62	14.4	16.2	-1.75
Karl-Anthony Towns	59	56	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.13	12	-4	16	14.2	14.6	-0.47	14.8	15.8	-0.97
Shabazz Muhammad	31	32	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.36	-6	14	-20	15.0	14.0	1.00	16.0	14.8	1.14
Tayshaun Prince	34	35	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	9	-10	16.0	13.5	2.48	17.0	14.2	2.86
Ricky Rubio	49	48	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	6	-4	12.8	15.9	-3.14	14.4	16.0	-1.58
Damjan Rudez	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	15	-22	18.0	14.2	3.77	5.5	15.4	-9.91
Greg Smith	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	15	-22	18.0	14.2	3.77	5.5	15.4	-9.91
Adreian Payne	15	13	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.33	-18	26	-44	15.1	14.2	0.85	16.8	15.0	1.81

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Cauley-Stein	65	70	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.18	4	-12	16	14.8	16.1	-1.36	14.3	14.6	-0.29
James Anderson	58	58	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.27	6	-14	20	15.4	14.9	0.52	15.6	12.5	3.08
Eric Moreland	25	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.20	1	-9	10	15.3	15.2	0.10	14.2	14.4	-0.25
Kosta Koufos	38	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-5	2	16.6	14.3	2.27	16.0	13.3	2.73
Darren Collison	75	79	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-3	-2	14.8	16.8	-2.05	14.0	15.6	-1.57
Ben McLemore	38	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-8	8	15.9	14.8	1.09	14.7	14.1	0.53
Quincy Acy	59	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	2	-12	14.8	15.9	-1.07	13.3	16.0	-2.69
Rudy Gay	71	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.07	-19	11	-30	15.3	15.0	0.23	13.9	15.7	-1.83
Seth Curry	51	53	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.23	-14	6	-20	15.0	15.4	-0.36	14.0	14.7	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 93, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
PHX 115, SAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.35,0.23,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.34,0.19,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.6%
IND 114, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%