NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	92		Excitement	8.3 [231]		MVP	Rodney Stuckey (IND): +16.4%
New York Knicks	87		Comeback	2.5 [265]		LVP	Monta Ellis (IND): -35.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.00	9	74%	0.21	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
CJ Miles	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.00	8	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.08	-0.02	0.10	-0.01	4	71%	0.17	4	-0.09	6	67%	0.01
Paul George	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	15	59%	0.18	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
George Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	9	48%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	11	55%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	7	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.26,-0.35	-0.08	-0.28	-0.01	11	29%	-0.23	1	-0.13	2	100%	0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.08	0.08	-0.04	0.09	-0.03	15	43%	0.16	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.09
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	13	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	9	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.08
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,-0.09	-0.09	0.07	-0.16	0.00	15	66%	0.09	3	-0.18	2	100%	0.04
Jerian Grant	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	9	30%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cleanthony Early	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	14%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	16	31%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.7	28.2	16.4	25.8	1.8	41.6	137.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +49.3%

IND +5.3%

IND +6.4%

NYK -14.0%

IND +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	13.5	15.5	14.9	91.1	88.8	105.1
season	14.6	15.6		103.2	103.5
opponent	14.8	14.9		106.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.1	12.4	15.4	13.2	13.5
NYK	15.2	18.3	14.6	14.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Hill	41	40	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.02	19	-14	33	12.1	14.4	-2.35	16.2	15.0	1.26
Paul George	63	59	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	6	-7	13.4	13.6	-0.13	14.5	16.9	-2.44
Rodney Stuckey	38	40	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	-7	19	13.2	13.7	-0.41	16.9	14.5	2.44
Myles Turner	62	63	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.29	1	4	-3	13.7	13.1	0.64	15.7	15.1	0.66
Ty Lawson	36	37	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	-6	17	13.0	13.8	-0.81	16.9	14.6	2.31
Monta Ellis	65	61	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.41	-6	11	-17	13.8	13.0	0.81	14.6	16.9	-2.31
CJ Miles	38	39	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.06	8	-3	11	13.6	13.4	0.13	16.9	14.5	2.44
George Hill	63	58	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.37	-7	12	-19	13.7	13.2	0.41	14.5	16.9	-2.44
Ian Mahinmi	68	64	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.41	-9	14	-23	13.8	12.9	0.92	14.6	17.1	-2.46
Lavoy Allen	31	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.06	-3	8	-11	14.2	13.2	1.01	15.8	15.3	0.49

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerian Grant	53	54	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.18	10	-15	25	15.1	15.9	-0.84	14.0	12.9	1.05
Cleanthony Early	34	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-4	3	16.2	15.1	1.07	14.2	13.1	1.17
Kyle O'Quinn	27	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	5	-15	16.9	15.0	1.89	11.6	14.1	-2.52
Kevin Seraphin	48	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.26	1	-6	7	14.4	16.6	-2.21	12.9	14.1	-1.20
Robin Lopez	70	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.47	7	-12	19	15.1	16.4	-1.33	14.3	11.2	3.10
Derrick Williams	57	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	4	-13	15.9	14.9	0.95	13.6	13.3	0.35
Langston Galloway	66	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	0	-5	15.2	16.0	-0.73	13.1	14.2	-1.12
Sasha Vujacic	65	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.26	-8	3	-11	16.5	13.5	2.96	13.6	13.3	0.24
Arron Afflalo	70	72	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.31	-10	5	-15	15.0	16.6	-1.58	13.2	14.3	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.17,0.31,0.36,0.57,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 95, ORL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.27,0.41,0.19,0.28,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.58,0	91.5%
MIL 78, TOR 75	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.21,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.55,0.75,0.58,0	90.6%
MEM 111, LAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.27,0.4,0.37,0.23,0.73,0	90.4%