NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	107		Excitement	2.7 [1247]		MVP	Mo Williams (CLE): +8.5%
New York Knicks	93		Comeback	1.0 [1229]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -6.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.00	-0.03	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.16	0.00	0.08	19	64%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	59%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	21	56%	0.07	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	0	75%	0.02	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Channing Frye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Kaun	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McRae	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	42%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	0.00	0.05	8	59%	-0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	75%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.02
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	16	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	7	48%	-0.01	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.06	0.00	0.13	24	52%	-0.05	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	29.7	16.7	25.8	2.0	33.2	133.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +38.9%

CLE +2.5%

CLE +10.6%

NYK -3.0%

CLE +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	16.0	15.7	14.9	117.6	102.2	105.1
season	15.8	15.6		110.3	103.5
opponent	14.8	14.9		106.1	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.8	15.3	15.5	18.0	16.0
NYK	17.9	16.7	16.5	12.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	64	68	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.14	20	-6	26	16.4	15.0	1.36	16.4	13.7	2.73
J.R. Smith	57	57	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.14	18	-4	22	16.2	15.6	0.54	16.7	14.0	2.65
Kevin Love	62	65	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.05	13	1	12	16.1	15.6	0.54	16.5	13.7	2.85
Mo Williams	24	24	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	1	12	17.0	15.6	1.36	14.7	16.0	-1.28
Tristan Thompson	44	42	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	9	-4	16.7	15.3	1.36	13.9	17.2	-3.32
Timofey Mozgov	45	46	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	7	0	15.0	16.8	-1.80	17.9	13.4	4.53
Matthew Dellavedova	60	60	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	9	-4	14.9	17.9	-3.00	16.0	15.1	0.95
Channing Frye	29	26	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.14	1	13	-12	15.6	16.1	-0.54	13.7	16.5	-2.85
Iman Shumpert	41	41	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.36	-8	22	-30	16.6	15.4	1.15	14.4	16.8	-2.37
Richard Jefferson	25	22	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	18	-22	14.5	16.5	-1.98	13.4	16.4	-3.01
Sasha Kaun	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	21.0	15.8	5.16	9.5	15.8	-6.33
Jordan McRae	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	21.0	15.8	5.16	9.5	15.8	-6.33

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	15	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-16	18	11.9	16.4	-4.58	16.2	15.9	0.28
Langston Galloway	36	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.16	4	-18	22	14.1	16.7	-2.66	16.6	15.5	1.08
Jose Calderon	40	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-12	10	17.3	14.5	2.82	15.0	16.7	-1.62
Sasha Vujacic	40	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-7	0	16.8	14.8	1.98	15.2	16.5	-1.27
Robin Lopez	49	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-9	4	17.8	13.2	4.65	14.8	17.2	-2.33
Kevin Seraphin	12	14	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.10	-11	-3	-8	14.8	15.8	-0.99	16.0	15.9	0.05
Derrick Williams	46	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-9	4	13.7	17.7	-4.04	17.0	14.8	2.25
Jerian Grant	15	15	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.18	-16	2	-18	15.3	15.8	-0.43	16.8	15.8	1.01
Arron Afflalo	52	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-5	-4	14.5	17.2	-2.69	16.5	15.2	1.27
Carmelo Anthony	74	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-4	-6	15.9	14.6	1.29	16.2	15.1	1.10
Kristaps Porzingis	76	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-3	-8	16.4	12.2	4.18	15.7	17.1	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 113, MIL 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
DET 102, WAS 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
BKN 141, PHI 118	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%