NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	94		Excitement	9.8 [75]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): +62.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	96		Comeback	19.3 [89]		LVP	DeAndre Jordan (LAC): -19.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.43	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,0.43	-0.05	0.48	0.00	16	44%	0.55	3	-0.12	9	89%	0.06
Ed Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
CJ McCollum	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	12	57%	0.17	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Noah Vonleh	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.06	-0.00	8	45%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Pat Connaughton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,-0.05	0.03	-0.06	0.01	8	62%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	9	46%	0.03	3	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Allen Crabbe	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	11	29%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.62	0.62	0.10	0.51	-0.01	21	60%	0.66	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.37	0.37	0.00	0.37	0.01	11	50%	0.40	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.09	-0.01	15	64%	0.31	4	-0.14	9	100%	0.12
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.09	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Pablo Prigioni	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.04	0.01	7	40%	-0.06	5	-0.14	16	37%	-0.17

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.8	31.4	15.4	29.1	1.5	42.5	147.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +61.3%

POR -15.5%

LAC +3.4%

LAC +0.7%

LAC +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	16.0	13.0	14.9	94.9	96.0	105.1
season	15.0	14.8		107.1	106.6
opponent	14.9	14.6		102.1	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.4	17.2	15.3	16.0	16.0
LAC	13.4	12.2	13.0	13.4	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	63	64	0.43	-0.93	1.36	-0.01	15	-17	32	15.7	16.4	-0.67	13.5	12.1	1.35
Noah Vonleh	19	20	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.03	4	-6	10	16.6	15.8	0.83	15.0	12.5	2.56
Gerald Henderson	43	45	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-3	4	18.0	14.4	3.61	14.6	11.7	2.83
Pat Connaughton	0	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-2	2	0.0	16.0	-15.96	3.0	13.1	-10.10
Al-Farouq Aminu	44	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	4	-10	14.9	16.8	-1.89	12.6	13.3	-0.73
Brian Roberts	12	13	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	5	-12	16.6	15.9	0.71	12.5	13.1	-0.53
CJ McCollum	80	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-3	4	15.6	17.3	-1.68	12.8	13.7	-0.93
Ed Davis	44	44	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.48	3	-5	8	17.0	15.1	1.87	14.8	11.6	3.25
Damian Lillard	75	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.48	-3	1	-4	15.1	18.5	-3.41	12.1	16.0	-3.90
Mason Plumlee	56	54	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.34	-10	8	-18	14.9	17.4	-2.54	11.9	14.2	-2.29
Allen Crabbe	59	60	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.50	-8	6	-14	16.9	14.5	2.41	12.2	14.1	-1.92

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	55	58	1.18	-0.68	1.87	0.83	12	-10	22	11.9	14.4	-2.55	14.4	18.2	-3.86
Wesley Johnson	28	29	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.73	1	1	0	12.9	13.1	-0.20	15.5	16.1	-0.63
Jamal Crawford	67	66	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-9	20	13.0	13.0	0.05	17.1	13.8	3.30
Chris Paul	68	68	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	-3	8	12.5	14.1	-1.61	15.0	18.0	-2.92
DeAndre Jordan	70	71	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.44	0	2	-2	12.8	13.4	-0.52	14.9	18.6	-3.64
Cole Aldrich	28	28	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	-3	8	14.2	12.5	1.69	18.6	14.9	3.64
Austin Rivers	49	47	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	1	0	13.5	12.5	0.96	17.6	14.5	3.03
Paul Pierce	33	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.07	2	0	2	12.2	13.4	-1.27	14.8	16.5	-1.67
Pablo Prigioni	17	16	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	7	-12	15.0	12.6	2.41	18.1	15.5	2.58
Jeff Green	51	48	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.12	-3	5	-8	14.5	11.5	2.96	18.0	14.0	4.04
Luc Mbah a Moute	34	31	-0.88	1.38	-2.27	-0.33	-19	21	-40	12.2	13.4	-1.16	13.5	17.1	-3.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.7,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.4,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 100, MIA 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.27,1	91.8%
BKN 82, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.14,0.41,1	90.5%
MIN 95, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.58,1	89.8%