NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	91		Excitement	7.8 [290]		MVP	Andre Drummond (DET): +65.1%
Detroit Pistons	92		Comeback	24.2 [71]		LVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DET): -32.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0.39	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.32,0.25,0.39	0.16	0.23	-0.00	16	77%	0.48	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.00	-0.01	17	62%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	15	60%	0.11	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Damien Inglis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jared Cunningham	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	5	42%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.19

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.65	0.65	-0.00	0.64	-0.01	16	42%	0.65	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.20	0.10	0.02	9	100%	0.30	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.06
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.11	0.01	12	45%	0.12	0	0.00	5	100%	0.07
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.08,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.03	-0.03	8	47%	0.07	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	3	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.06	-0.00	6	29%	-0.04	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.33	-0.33	-0.05	-0.27	0.01	18	39%	-0.31	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.4	27.4	15.7	21.3	2.4	40.2	130.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -10.6%

DET +27.0%

DET +9.3%

DET +7.9%

DET +16.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	DET	NBA	MIL	DET	NBA
this game	16.1	16.2	14.9	102.2	103.4	105.1
season	14.8	15.0		102.8	104.9
opponent	15.1	15.3		105.0	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.8	14.4	15.9	17.6	16.1
DET	16.7	16.9	16.1	15.1	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Monroe	61	62	0.50	-1.00	1.51	0.03	16	-17	33	16.3	15.7	0.55	16.0	16.9	-0.94
Tyler Ennis	24	22	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.15	-4	3	-7	14.7	16.7	-1.99	14.6	16.8	-2.19
Damien Inglis	27	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.15	-9	8	-17	14.7	16.7	-2.04	15.0	16.7	-1.69
Khris Middleton	58	59	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.65	18	-19	37	15.8	16.7	-0.85	16.7	15.3	1.41
Miles Plumlee	26	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.13	-11	10	-21	16.3	16.0	0.26	17.1	15.9	1.17
Jared Cunningham	27	27	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.19	-17	16	-33	15.4	16.4	-1.03	14.7	16.9	-2.20
Giannis Antetokounmpo	67	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.60	8	-9	17	16.6	14.7	1.92	16.1	16.6	-0.47
Jabari Parker	62	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.62	8	-9	17	16.7	14.7	2.04	16.7	15.0	1.69
Jerryd Bayless	65	67	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.62	3	-4	7	16.7	14.7	1.99	16.8	14.6	2.19
John Henson	28	27	-1.00	0.50	-1.51	-0.51	-17	16	-33	15.7	16.3	-0.55	16.9	16.0	0.94

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Drummond	62	60	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.67	-3	4	-7	15.5	17.9	-2.37	16.9	14.6	2.33
Tobias Harris	69	67	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.63	-4	5	-9	15.7	18.1	-2.40	16.7	14.3	2.40
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	70	69	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.58	-3	4	-7	16.2	16.5	-0.30	16.5	14.7	1.77
Marcus Morris	68	68	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.54	-2	3	-5	16.8	14.4	2.43	16.2	15.9	0.35
Reggie Jackson	54	52	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.62	-8	9	-17	16.0	16.6	-0.60	15.9	16.4	-0.48
Steve Blake	35	37	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.15	9	-8	17	16.6	16.0	0.60	16.4	15.9	0.48
Anthony Tolliver	31	32	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.20	10	-9	19	16.5	16.1	0.33	14.5	17.0	-2.49
Stanley Johnson	29	31	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.13	2	-1	3	16.1	16.3	-0.20	15.4	16.5	-1.08
Aron Baynes	27	29	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.20	4	-3	7	17.9	15.5	2.37	14.6	16.9	-2.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.39,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.28,0.17,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.2,0.15,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.45,0.37,0.1,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 83, NYK 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.44,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.38,0.29,0.57,0.27,1	89.5%
DAL 103, BOS 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.42,1	89.3%
HOU 120, DAL 123	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.37,1	89.0%